Posted on 09/05/2014 4:56:48 PM PDT by Covenantor
Ebola Toll Tops 2,000, Cases Near 4,000
2014-09-05 22:28
Geneva - More than 2 000 people have died in the Ebola outbreak in West Africa, the World Health Organisation said on Friday, out of about 4 000 patients thought to have been infected in the three countries worst hit by the disease.
The death toll in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone totalled 2 097 as at 5 Sept, out of 3 944 cases, a WHO document said.
The data did not include patients in Nigeria or Senegal, which have also been affected, nor Democratic Republic of Congo, which has been hit by an unrelated outbreak of the disease.
A good time to look for a good old-fashioned blue-collar job and let the colleges go hungry.
On August 21st with 2400 cases, I predicted 10,000 cases in 30 days (Sept 21st) and 200,000 in 90 days (Nov 21st).
It’s tracking pretty much as I predicted.
You’re Welcome, Alamo-Girl!
The numbers thus far and of course subject to change. Each Ebola victim infects 1.8 people. 60 to 70 percent die
After one year (march 2015) there will be 170,000 infected 110,000 dead
After two years (march 2016) there will be 310,000,000 infected 200,000,000 dead
After three years (march 2017) there will be 6 billion infected and 4 billion dead.
Scary numbers, I seriously doubt the numbers are that bad, but those are the numbers as of now.
Oh one more thing, WHO says it's numbers are probably only 25-50% of the real numbers due to under reporting of Ebola.
What’s the difference between a surgeon and God?
God doesn’t think he’s God.
Not sure where those numbers come from, but at the current rate of spread, there will be 200,000 cases by Nov 21. Those numbers you posted are too low in the short run.
I doubt we get to 6 billion. That 6 out of 7. There will be those that protect themselves. And there will be some geographic areas that aren’t affected.
My numbers come from WHO (World Health Organization) but they are just a sample extrapolation, like you I doubt the numbers out more then 6 to 12 months.
I calculated mine based on the rate of case increases around Aug 21. Cases were increasing about 5% a day so 2400 * (1.05)^30 is the formula I used.
Thanks for the ping, smokin’ Joe. Yikes.
You’re Welcome, SaraJohnson!
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