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Breaking: Battleground poll shows GOP +4 on Congressional ballot, wide intensity gap
Hot Air ^ | September 3, 2014 | Guy Benson

Posted on 09/03/2014 6:32:11 AM PDT by Hojczyk

Brand new numbers from a fresh Politico/GWU nationwide survey — all of which are among likely voters, with a partisan sample of 41/40/17 (D/R/I):

(1) Republicans hold a four-point lead (43/39) on the generic Congressional ballot, a measure that traditionally favors Democrats. Including leaners, the margin is unchanged (46/42). Republicans have a strong edge on this question among independent (+15) and middle class voters (+11). And then there’s this, with all the obvious caveats about the reliability of small sub-samples firmly in place:

“In states with a competitive US Senate race, Republicans hold a sixteen point advantage (52%-36%) on this generic ballot.” I suspect 16 percentage points is outside even the most ardent skeptic’s margin of error.

(2) President Obama is a drag on his party. A majority of likely 2014 voters disapprove of his job performance (44/51), with strong disapproval outpacing strong approval by 18 points (27/45).

(3) The public’s overall mood is quite sour. Just 21 percent of respondents say the country is on the right track, with fully 70 percent saying America is on the wrong track. Other polling on this question is similarly grim.

(4) When the two parties go head-to-head, Republicans hold clear advantages on several of the issues that are most likely to drive the 2014 campaign:

Economy: GOP +7

Federal budget/spending: GOP +13

Taxes: GOP +6

Foreign policy: GOP +10

Immigration +7

(5) Finally, a word on voter enthusiasm and intensity, again via the pollsters:

The vote intensity of Republican voters is strong – a net twelve-points more than their Democratic counterparts

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014midterms
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1 posted on 09/03/2014 6:32:11 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Oh man, the democrats are gonna pull out the stops to gin up the hate now. Gotta energize their base.


2 posted on 09/03/2014 6:34:46 AM PDT by skeeter
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To: Hojczyk

Republicans hold a sixteen point advantage (52%-36%) on this generic ballot.” I suspect 16 percentage points is outside even the most ardent skeptic’s margin of error.


RATS panicking openly when they read this: it’s also outside their margin of fraud capacity.


3 posted on 09/03/2014 6:37:44 AM PDT by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: All
OMG---this means Dummycrats' voter fraud machine will go into overdrive. Watch out for flying tacos.

Valerie's on the phone w/ Mexican cartels and drug lords as we type......speeding up deliveries of taco boxes full of “eight balls” of cocaine baggies delivered by latino mules..... used as bribes to get Dummycrat votes.

The cartels are rounding up latino "politiqueras" to work for desperate Democrat candidates:

<><> to encourage people to vote Democrat,

<><> to bring latino Democrats to the polls,

<><> to ensure that ignorant latinos voters select the Democrat candidate,

<><> to pay-off illiterate latino voters for voting Democrat.

Vote-crazed Dummycrats need assurances that swarms of latino campaign workers will distribute cocaine in baggies to campaign workers, and $10 bills in exchange for the "ignoramusitos" to vote Democrat.

========================================

(Sniffle) I'm just worried sick this will take time from Dummycrats' favorite occupation---wire transferring federal money to numbered accounts offshore. (sob)

4 posted on 09/03/2014 6:40:20 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Hojczyk

5 posted on 09/03/2014 6:40:43 AM PDT by JPG ("So sue me". OK, we will.)
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To: JPG

Bye Bye Harry.......

Don’t let the door hit on the but on the way out......

I suspect it could be a lot worse.


6 posted on 09/03/2014 6:55:12 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: Hojczyk

One can only imagine how bad the rats look data wise, before Politico and GWU skewed the data for their side.


7 posted on 09/03/2014 6:59:58 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (If you don't Donate to Free Republic. Shame on you! Freep Loaders are scum!)
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To: Liz

bttt


8 posted on 09/03/2014 7:00:45 AM PDT by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: Hojczyk

These are 2010-like numbers. But somehow these favorable numbers are not being reflected in the polls.

‘Tis a mystery.


9 posted on 09/03/2014 7:09:16 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: Hojczyk

Looking good.


10 posted on 09/03/2014 7:09:56 AM PDT by Ted Grant
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To: Liz

The only calls the Dems will make will be to Boehner and MCCain to make some absolute idiotic statement to deflate us again this week. Reading yesterday of Boehner saying immigration reform possible next year.


11 posted on 09/03/2014 7:11:55 AM PDT by taterjay
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To: InterceptPoint

I’m surprised these results even saw the light of day.


12 posted on 09/03/2014 7:12:13 AM PDT by txhurl (2014: Stunned Voters do Stunning Things!)
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To: Hojczyk; JRandomFreeper
A nugget from the article:

“The vote intensity of Republican voters is strong – a net twelve-points more than their Democratic counterparts. Overall, sixty-two percent (62%) of voters say they are extremely likely to vote in the November elections. However, Republicans (69% extremely likely) outpace Democrats (57% extremely likely). In fact, this intensity advantage exceeds where Republicans were in the September 2010 Battleground Poll.”

13 posted on 09/03/2014 7:14:25 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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To: Hojczyk

Anyone know the GOP plan on Obamacare, spending, debt, national security, military spending, border security, economic growth, etc.? It’s two months until Election Day and I have no idea.


14 posted on 09/03/2014 7:15:25 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: InterceptPoint
8 weeks until the elections. We'll see how the GOP-E does then. They won a lot of nasty primaries. We'll see if they can win in the General election after declaring war on conservatives.

/johnny

15 posted on 09/03/2014 7:21:48 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Hojczyk

The RCP Senate “no toss up” map predicts GOP +7
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map_no_toss_ups.html


16 posted on 09/03/2014 7:25:40 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (We have met the enemy and he is us.)
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To: skeeter

Yep. Gonna be all-Raise-the-Minimum-Wage-All-The-Time.

Though I can scarcely believe that we are that energized, given how the GOPe goes out of their way to relieve themselves on us several times a day.


17 posted on 09/03/2014 7:28:19 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Hojczyk
Too bad for the GOP that they don't have any 'generic elections' this season.

All they have are very specific elections with widely varying circumstances.

/johnny

18 posted on 09/03/2014 7:30:49 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

“Vote for us, we’ll fix the problem we created” has consistently worked for the democrat party in the past, we’ll see if the magic is still there.


19 posted on 09/03/2014 7:32:29 AM PDT by skeeter
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To: JRandomFreeper

Well it looks like you have more work to do if you are hoping for a Harry Reid Senate next year.

OTOH, I remain skeptical that we will replace Dirty Harry. I want to see some polls showing Mary L going down big time in LA first. Then I might become a true believer that we are seeing a repeat of 2010.


20 posted on 09/03/2014 7:35:45 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Remember Mississippi)
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