Then there's the bubonic plague
Posted on 07/30/2014 9:08:49 AM PDT by Enlightened1
From what I’m reading, including your linked article, Nancy Writebol and the other person are FROM North Carolina but both are still in Africa.
It's actually around 56% so far for this outbreak (as of yesterday). This particular strain is in the EBOV family, which does historically average a much higher fatality rate. I was analyzing the data for the heck of it this morning, since I did analysis of nonlinear dynamics problems in population growth and disease using various "modern" math techniques as an NIH research project once (don't do pure biomedical research anymore professionally, just out of curiousity). Incidence is increasing greatly, with what appears to be a bifurcation from what looked a stable equilibrium; the new rate of incidence that started relatively recently is much higher and appears to have the potential to transition to an epidemic.
People think preppers have food only if the lights go out, or there is a run on the local market.
If Ebola hits your town, you will want to hunker down in your home for about two months. At least.
Could YOU survive that long?
OK, lets not get to spreading rumors.
Even the current strain they are dealing with in Africa is NOT the most dangerous kind.
It is NOT airborne.
If you do not touch an infected person or have them puke or defecate on you, the chances of getting infected are almost nil.
There is plenty to worry about, but posting crap like your comment is dangerous.
The 60% figure IS the number with good care. Normally its 90% untreated.
Remember how all the libtards aid Reagan created AIDS to kill queers? Well, it looks like Barry wants to kill all good US citizens with a pandemic brought in across the border.
Yup, I might be a few pounds lighter, but my family and I could do it. Working on a full year of supplies now that I have 3-4 months squared away.
the new rate of incidence that started relatively recently is much higher and appears to have the potential to transition to an epidemic.
There are scare stories about a new disease vector. Would that explain the higher incidence data? Because I wouldn't like to think these weren't just stories.
“Man o’ man, I sure doubt the above doc’s statement. I have read that even with the best medical care, the fatality rate is still 60%.”
Put several hundred patients in every hospital within 100 miles of patient zero, and the hospitals would be overwhelmed.
This level of care is easy to provide to a buss load of folks. A stadium load? No way. Go spend a few days in your local emergency room and see for yourself.
I have the food and a 22,500 gallon pool in my back yard. With its cover on, and some filtration we are good to go for a while.
And I could afford to lose a few pounds anyway. Maybe I could get some commercials on TV afterwards with my weight loss program—just like Marie Osmond.
This is really frightening!
..
Ain’t nothing getting past that rope. Just watch people at the movie theatre or the airport. We need a rope on the southern border.
Well, we’re halfway through the year and there are already 3X the number of cases than in ‘12....... Houston, with oik/gas travelers, might be the next pop-up...
MOST human beings are not capable of making hard, life and death decisions.
If Ebola emerges in the USA millions will die as a result. Maybe 10s of millions.
Everyone has to assume they are the only person who will protect them and their families. One may have to isolate a family member too...and allow them to die without comfort.
Almost nobody can do that. That's why they'll likely die.
The increase corresponds roughly to the rainy season in West AFrica. And appears to have begun in roughly late April/early May. And mosquitos are apparently a vector:
http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/infectious-disease-topics/vhf
“Pathogenesis
The pathogenesis of hemorrhagic fever viruses is not completely understood; however, key points include the following (Peters 2002):
Hemorrhagic fever viruses enter the bloodstream through various mechanisms (eg, the bite of a mosquito or tick, inhalation, mucous membrane exposure, parenteral exposure), and all (except hantaviruses) cause disease during the period of viremia.
The infectious dose for hemorrhagic fever viruses appears to be low (1 to 10 organisms) (Franz 1997).”
That is actually a conjecture going around. It is not accepted as fact at this time. The current Ebola strain may actually have lower mortality than the well-researched Zaire strain, etc., but it is not known for sure.
There’s a direct flight from Murtala Muhammed airport in Lagos, where Patrick Sawyer collapsed in a pool of his own vomit and feces, to Houston.
How many travellers that were close to him when that happened continued on their merry way to wherever?
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