- The price-to-earnings, or P/E, ratio for stocks was among the highest decile of reported values since 1881;
- The market capitalization of U.S. stocks as a fraction of our economic output was at its highest since the record set in 2000;
Here are the PE ratios (along w/ dividend yields) for the S&P 500 from Princeton---
---and here's the total U.S. market cap divided by total US corp profits:
IMHO the numbers just don't support Fisher's claims. FWIW, the phrase "irrational exuberance" is how Sir Alan described stocks in the mid-'90's. When the dot-com bubble finally did come up a half decade later, his big worry by then was (I swear I'm not making this up) Y2K!!
Be nice to Greenspan he was blameless in any of the financial turmoil that ensued. He said so.
I skimmed the speech to see if he was referring to conditions in 2007-2008 because those comments have no bearing on the market today. I love Fisher but I just don’t see it at all.