The toad will probably use the time honored dimokkkrat excuse that he’s shocked, shocked I tell you, to learn that one of his people would do something like this and had he known(deniability) he would have gotten rid of the perp. Then he’ll apologize and things will be all unicorn and rainbows for him once again. I’d rather see him in orange myself.
I would actually be surprised if Thud knows what day it is or whether it is day or night. He is merely a puppet. He does as he is told.