Posted on 03/18/2014 5:14:03 AM PDT by blam
This Is The Most Plausible Theory For The Plane's Disappearance We've Heard Yet...
Henry Blodget
Mar. 18, 2014, 6:01 AM
Over the past 10 days, investigators and observers have come up with ever-more elaborate theories for what might have happened to Malaysia Airways Flight 370.
What was originally assumed to have been a tragic mid-air explosion or mechanical problem soon bloomed into a criminal investigation of a meticulously planned hijacking, commandeering, or otherwise stealing of a fully loaded commercial 777 in mid-air.
The perpetrator(s) knew the plane so well, one of the latest theories goes, that they climbed through a trap door outside the cockpit to reach circuit breakers necessary to shut down one of the communication's systems. They shut down the transponder. They made the plane disappear and fooled the world into thinking it had crashed. They flew one of two "arcs" for 7 hours — a "southern route" over the Indian Ocean on which, eventually, they crashed the plane in the ocean in a complicated suicide, and a "northern route" in which, perhaps, they slipped past land-based radar, flew to a destination in central Asia, and landed, perhaps preparing to use the plane again soon for a terrorist attack or other mission. This latter plan was executed so flawlessly, one observer theorized, that Flight 370 slipped in behind another commercial airliner for much of the route so as not to be noticed on radar.
The pilots' houses have been searched. Terrorist connections have been probed. Passenger backgrounds and possible motives have been scrutinized. And still, 10 days after the plane disappeared, we know nothing.
Perhaps that's because we're overthinking it.
A few days ago, a former pilot named Chris Goodfellow articulated an entirely different theory on Google+.
This theory fits the facts.
And it's the most plausible yet:
(snip)
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Plausible, but (1) wouldn’t some wreckage, including the black box, have show up by now? and (2) isn’t it kind of a coinky-dink that the plane was carrying Iranians with stolen passports that were used last year to get into Muslim northern China on a very suspicious venture?
I can readily believe that an heroic pilot would have tried to deal with a hijack attempt by hooking a left toward the nearest airport in an effort to get his ship on the ground.
heavy load, hot night, under-inflated tires.
This was essentially my theory a few days ago....one of two theories..
http://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3133194/posts?page=224#224
Actually, this is very plausible. Pilots only talk when they have time. Smoke in the flight deck requires O2 masks. Talking to ATC is the least of your worries. Sometimes 5 or 10 minutes after an emergency procedure. ValueJet cargo fire gave the crew only minutes to response time.
Conflicts with latest report that one of the transponders was turned off before the pilot’s last sign-off to ground control.
If you thought you had a tire etc. on fire, would it make sense to try to go to high altitude to ‘starve’ the fire of oxygen?
If they thought it was an electrical fire, and pulled the circuit breakers, would that also cut out voice communications?
Maybe someone with knowledge of these systems can tell us what ‘breakers’ are readily accessible in the cockpit, and what systems would be disabled by pulling these breakers.
To: RummyChick
for the first time I’ll post my theories.
1...85% leaning toward an electrical fire at the fuse panel in our underneath the cockpit. it disabled the comms and more. flight crew gets up to tackle the fire. as it spreads the coms go out one by one. Neglecting flying the aircraft, it climbs until it stalls then dives. flight crew regains control of the aircraft, turns autopilot go back to klp for emergency landing. they set autautopil poo to pilot again and continue to fight fire. Toxic fumes kill everyone and aircraft continues on autopilot until in crashes, out of fuel.
2- 15% chance was hijacked by pilots or others, destination deago garcia in a 911 event to take out the SAC base that took out so many Muslims. Only problem is the USAF saw them long before they got there and shoot them out of the sky. Therefore all the lies and misdirection so far is to stall, let the debris field settle and scatter so evidence goes away, so an alternate lie can be put forth so we don’t have to explain to the world why we shot a passenger plane out of the sky and be further hated by the world.
...but, them’s just my pet theories.
The theory has merit. But (and I’m guessing here) wouldn’t something indicate an rise in temperature where tires would be burning even before the smoke got to the cockpit?
This theory could also explain the ghost phone calls relatives were getting from the passengers shortly after the plane vanished.
Neither theory explains the >45K flight altitude.
“This theory could also explain the ghost phone calls relatives were getting from the passengers shortly after the plane vanished.”
I hadn’t heard this. What is a ‘ghost’ phone call?
Doesn’t address the data that showed the aircraft made multiple course changes, and altitude changes, seemed to navigate to waypoints.
I suspect we will never know what happened. Unless it was hijacked, and returns as a bomb...
I don’t think that would help. If they were that close, someone would notice."
Think about it.
Do you really think that the pilots, passengers or cabin crew can see directly below or behind the aircraft?
When I fly I like look out the windows to try to recognize landmarks. I will often walk to the back galley to look out the windows on the exit doors also. There is usually a blind cone about 45 degrees wide behind the aircraft and perhaps 30 degrees wide below.
Airliners are not fighter aircraft where the pilot needs to continually "check his 6 for bogies."
yeah I will accept the cabin fire theory, give the passengers a chance to get rescued.
Probably is happening right now.
In 1970, during the Suez Canal War, Israeli bombers would slip past Egyptian radar by flying close behind commercial airliners heading for Cairo. But that was more than four decades ago. Could that work today?
No. Pilots fly first, talk later. Something like smoke in the flight deck is extremely high workload for two pilots. We don’t need ATC to fly. We talk when we have time. This theory is very plausible. An Air Canada DC9 was almost complete burned up within 20 minutes. The crew wasted time troubleshooting. We are now trained to turn to the closest field. Fight the fire/smoke, with masks on... THEN talk to ATC.
Ridiculous for the pilots not to report anything like this happening. Also ridiculous that so many theories floating around that all the flight attendants and passengers were so sound alseep.
Radar altitude without a transponder is the most grossly overstated thing in this story. It’s bogus.
He has it backwards; the “ghost phone calls” were the initial reports of people on the ground phoning relatives on the plane and claiming that the calls were ringing, but unanswered.
Simple, and accounts for everything.
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