[Heavyrunner]

Does anyone know Intrade’s success rate on these things?

[profit_guy]

"Does anyone know Intrade’s success rate on these things?"

A. They had Kerry at 71% four hours before the polls closed in 2004

B. They were at 70-75% that the USSC would overturn Obamacare

C. They are basing their numbers off BS polls

D. OR, and I know this sounds conspiratorial, but I wouldn't put it past the Dems to blow a few million dollars to try to skew Intrade in hopes of effecting the election

[usconservative]

Intrade has never been wrong ... yet.

First time for everything I suppose but this doesn't give me heart .....

[Neidermeyer]

Does anyone know Intrade’s success rate on these things?
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100% ... after the fact..