Obama will have a lead coming out of early voting (which includes absentees in Ohio's tally); what matters is how large the lead is. In 2008, he netted more than 300,000 votes in the early period, and won the state by 262,000. This time, he's down at least 125,000 so far (as of yesterday, some votes are still coming in this morning).
Our peeps on Twitter (including LS) think we need to get about a 6% turnout margin today to win, and the last Dispatch poll showed Romney winning in-person voters by 11%. It'll be close (I think), but I think we pull it off.
You're ruining my breakfast. ;)
What is your source?
You went from OH is definitely going R leading up to today to “i think we can pull it off.”
Yikes.
“which is why the story was pulled”
The story is still up:
http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20121106/NEWS010601/311060015/?nclick_check=1
Hi Tony. Thanks for the info about the bad data.
My concern is that this is a Cincinnati Enquirer (cincinnati.com) link that appears to be an active link to that newspaper.
It says it is
Ohio presidential vote by counties
2:03 AM, Nov 6, 2012 | Comments
Moreover, it even includes comments on the article at:
Cincy Enquirer is one of my everyday go-to websites since I live fairly close to Cincy, so this is their website and it is one of their articles. If you haven’t looked at it, then go check it out.