[TheRhinelander]

This sums it up.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

[tsowellfan]

I have my doubts about the polls because I remember when the media and the polls had the republicans losing BIG TIME in 2002.

That was the year the Republicans won control of the both houses of Congress.

The day after the elections news story: “Why were the polls so wrong”?

Their conclusion was that there are less landlines and more people are using cell phones.

I also remember (I think it was 2008) when the media’s exit polls had John Kerry winning and when the final results came in and Bush won the election, the media was practically trusting the exit polls and questioning the actual voting results.

And finally this election: Over sampling democrats.

[tsowellfan]

Correction: I meant 2004 for John Kerry vs Bush

[HamiltonJay]

Polling has not remotely reflected reality from day one.

I fully expect R+3/4 in final turnout.

I do not and have not believed this cycle was ever close.

I live in PA and it was clear on the ground the state was in play long before the election cycle ever started yet it was consistently polling with 8+ point Obama leads and only now in the last weeks are the pollsters and pundits admitting it could be in play.

Polls just are not and have not been capturing what’s happening on the ground.

We will know in a few hours but the idea this is a squeaker is a MYTH

GOTV!! Fight like it is but nothing about this election feels like a close one.

Obama not able to draw reasonable crowds even with The Boss giving free concerts just dAys before election while Romney folks are waiting hours and turns away because the venues are full.. Etc etc etc