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To: SamAdams76

It seems that Ras does not use his Party Id number to weight his polling data. Here is an explanation of what Rasmussen does:

http://rkayn.blogspot.com/2012/10/even-rasmussen-is-skewed-toward.html


68 posted on 11/05/2012 10:25:15 AM PST by AaronInCarolina
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To: AaronInCarolina

Good link, thanks.

This explains a lot as to why Rasmussen is using a D+ model. You have to go with what has been historically accurate....now, if by some miracle the exit polls show R+ this year, it’ll be a more difficult job for pollsters in 2016.

Of course, it makes sense that more Ds show up in exit polls if it is true that Ds are more prone to talking to people...while Rs won’t.


100 posted on 11/05/2012 11:26:41 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: AaronInCarolina

Good link, thanks.

This explains a lot as to why Rasmussen is using a D+ model. You have to go with what has been historically accurate....now, if by some miracle the exit polls show R+ this year, it’ll be a more difficult job for pollsters in 2016.

Of course, it makes sense that more Ds show up in exit polls if it is true that Ds are more prone to talking to people...while Rs won’t.


103 posted on 11/05/2012 11:29:05 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: AaronInCarolina

Good link, thanks.

This explains a lot as to why Rasmussen is using a D+ model. You have to go with what has been historically accurate....now, if by some miracle the exit polls show R+ this year, it’ll be a more difficult job for pollsters in 2016.

Of course, it makes sense that more Ds show up in exit polls if it is true that Ds are more prone to talking to people...while Rs won’t.


104 posted on 11/05/2012 11:30:07 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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