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To: LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; SoftwareEngineer; ConservativeGuy; ConservativeDude
Check out the accuracy of Rasmussen's party id to turnout...


108 posted on 11/05/2012 11:40:56 AM PST by nhwingut (Get out & Vote as if your life was on the line. Because it is.)
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To: LS; Ravi; InterceptPoint; tatown; Perdogg; nhwingut; ConservativeGuy; ConservativeDude; ...

Despite RAS saying that he thinks the final turnout will be D/R/I of 39/37/24 (and I disagree) it turns out that for the full week ending SUN 11/04 he was using a D+4 sample!

No wonder his Republicans for Romney number was low

For those of you that have subscriptions:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/platinum/full_week_crosstabs/crosstabs_full_week_crosstabs_october_29_november_4_2012

Also, it is clear that for the full week, the Governor loses one point due to rounding. The “Leaning Romney” number is shown a 0, which is why the poll is R:49 O:48

However 1% of whites (74% of sample) lean Romney. But that got rounded down

BOTTOM LINE: Scott Rasmussen believes that in the general populace Republicans outnumber Democrats by 6% (as per his October release)

However, he believes that on Election Day, we will get a D+2 sample

ON TOP OF THAT, he polls with a D+4 sample!!


111 posted on 11/05/2012 11:45:03 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
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To: nhwingut

Interesting. October 2012 closely resembles October 2008, except Republicans and Democrats have changed places.


114 posted on 11/05/2012 11:49:50 AM PST by Cap Huff
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To: nhwingut

Do you have a url for that graph?


126 posted on 11/05/2012 1:16:08 PM PST by Ken H
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To: nhwingut

Damn...that look too good to be true. Wow! We can only hope it turns out that way.


152 posted on 11/05/2012 6:43:17 PM PST by NittanyLion
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