I’m wondering about NYC. What if a couple million normally dem voters just decide it’s not worth the bother? Could Romney actually win NY?
“I’m wondering about NYC. What if a couple million normally dem voters just decide it’s not worth the bother? Could Romney actually win NY?”
Uh, no. I live in NYC and let me point out a few things. New York County (Manhattan) posted 15% for each of McCain, Bush ‘04 and Bush ‘00. Ok, maybe Romney will do slightly better, but I would be shocked if Romney pulled more than about 18% in Manhattan. Queens, Brooklyn, and the Bronx will be about the same.
Staten Island (Richmond County) sometimes throws in behind the Republicans but they went Obama last time. I would not be surprised if Staten Island goes Romney, but it is liable to be close and there just aren’t many votes there.
Upstate NY? IIRC, NY State delivered a higher tally to Obama than any other state with the possible exception of California. Romney will not win NY or NJ, you can bet the farm on it.