Early voting and indie numbers are, well, awful. Ohio looms large if Rasmussen is accurate here. BTW, I still think ROmney will win but it’s not gonna be a walkover. America is very close to the tipping point and even if Romney wins it just delays the tip. The momentum is all on the side of big government and it will never change until America hits rock bottom. Sorry for the depressing thoughts but I call’um as I see’um.
Early voting in Ohio was down overall for Democrats. As of Tuesday, 530,813 Ohio Democrats had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot,” he wrote.
That’s down 181,275 from four years ago. But 448,357 Ohio Republicans had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot, up 75,858 from the last presidential election.
That 257,133-vote swing almost wipes out Mr. Obama’s 2008 Ohio victory margin of 262,224. Since most observers expect Republicans to win Election Day turnout, these early vote numbers point toward a Romney victory in Ohio.
McCain lost the early voting in Ohio in 2008 but won the late voting by 3 points. I can’t see how Romney will do worse or even be the same as McCain’s on November 6 given the GOP voter enthusiasm now compared to 2008.
Also, Romney has consistently led among independents in most October surveys ( that includes Ohio ).
When a sitting President cannot reach 50%, his re-election chances are greatly diminished.
Not good news for Dems either.