Do you really think the voter model in Ohio is comprised of 10% Independents?? Serious?
Romney leads with I nationwide by anywhere from 10-20% but yet in Ohio he’s down by 12? And yet even with the model, Obama can’t crack 50% and the poll is within 2? If I was looking at this from a Dem perspective, I’d be nervous as hell.
And with Halperin saying this morning that Romney is winning Independents in Ohio-this poll would probably have Mitt up by 7-8% if they did an accurate sampling model and gave Romney the accurate lead with Independent voters.
"Denver Mayor Hancock in Wisconsin says Obama getting beat in early voting" from the Denverpost.com