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To: NELSON111
Alright, I'll try again. Explain the order of these tracks....




31 posted on 10/28/2012 4:31:30 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/?)
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To: eyedigress
>>>Alright, I'll try again. Explain the order of these tracks....

Perhaps you should try it for the FIRST time...you never asked a question. Go back and look at the thread. Perhaps you posted a question on ANOTHER thread regarding this...but not this one.

But...to answer your question...you have to be wary of looking at these model plots...especially if you don't know what you are looking at.

XTRP is simple extrapolated movement. In other words...it will ALWAYS be a straight line.

CLP5 is the climo model. It looks at what storms have done in the past at that location and movement. Not useful at all for a changing situation...and really only used for comparison...not forecasting.

The green tracks are the BAM models. Very primitive and not useful outside the tropics. Ignore them.

That leaves you with every other model or value...and they point to the same area. The TVCN is a consensus model. It is like a Choir harmonizing the individual members.

33 posted on 10/28/2012 4:42:50 PM PDT by NELSON111
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