[aruanan]

Rasmussen: Yes, Dems likely have 2-4 point advantage in November

Scott Rastaman has been smoking something. Reagan was tremendously outpolled even on the very eve of the election and he destroyed Carter. He even took Illinois. The current polls have to over-sample Democrats and employ 2008, not 2010, Democrat voter turn out numbers just to keep Obama and Romney neck and neck. Fewer people self-identify as Democrats than Republicans. About twice as many Americans describe themselves as conservatives as liberals. There's a shrinking number of self-identified Democrats and a growing number of self-identified Republicans. The number of "Hey, let's give Obama a chance and see what he can do" voters will be drastically reduced. The number of "I'm a college student voting for hope and change" voters will be sharply down. The number of "I voted for Obama because I don't want people to think I'm a racist" voters will be seriously eroded by the "I said I voted for Obama because I didn't want people to think I'm a racist but this guy has completely effed us over so I really voted for Romney" voters.

[One Name]

Trust your gut.

The anti’s are quite motivated.

[untwist]

Reagan had Reagan democrats. We were only 6 years removed from Nixon, and the democrats had a huge bulge in affiliation. There were many Kennedy democrats then. Today the demographic is different.

I think there are Reagan democrats out there who haven’t moved over yet. The debates will turn this in our favor.

[RaisingCain]

Big problem with your logic. Obama is the black Muslim Carter, but Romney is the white Mormon Carter. There’s no Reagan running, so the rules are going to be different. There is just too little difference between the two candidates to excite anybody, and the only thing animating the Republicans is opposition towards Obama. Only the MittBots think Romney is something that he isn’t.

This is a weak foundation from which to launch a Presidential missile. That is why the missile is not flying high enough or fast enough when Obama has been so utterly incompetent and corrupt. Look at the ads Mittens has been pushing. I’m compassionate and so is Obama, but, umm, I can manage government better. Ryan: Gays are in the military and there’s nothing we can do about it now. Time to move on. Romney: Abortion is legal for the health and life of the mother and for rape and incest, it is settled law. RomneyCare was a great success in my state, but I never said it would work as a national model even though I did. You have to read the nuance in my lying words. Oh, and RomneyCare is proof that I am compassionate because I got everyone insured. But but but, I didn’t defund Medicare to do it.

And so it goes...