Obama has a one- or two-point lead in each of the Key Three States in this years election, Ohio, Florida and Virginia. The president is also up by three in Wisconsin and up two in Nevada. Romney is now up two in Colorado and ahead by three in Iowa and New Hampshire. All these states remain Toss-Ups in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections.
All tossups go to Romney because it means Obama is polling under 50%, at least according to Dick Morris.
Based on this, Romney will win OH with some degree of comfort---again, keeping in mind that this is early and anything can change. But what we are seeing is across the board in all ounties, so we won't be blindsided by an outlier.