Gallup Romney 47 Obama 46
http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx
Since the pollsters are undersampling Republicans and oversampling DemocRATS, I wonder what it REALLY is.
Rasmussen: 3-day average
Gallup: 7-day average
We are only now starting to see the convention bounce in these polls. I’m thinking Romney will wind up with a 5 to 6 point bounce, going from a pre-convention tie, to a sizable lead. I doubt Obama will get much if any bounce. Maybe 2 points. So, I expect Romney to have a lead following the Democratic Nation Convention of something like 3 points. Then, it’s on to the debates. Romney need only not droll on himself to get another couple point edge in the debates. So, right now, barring unforeseen events, I’m thinking Romney wins with a 5 point margin.
Obama is not gonna make it. Bush barely won reelection and between August and November he never fell bellow 50% in any national poll.
Obama has been stuck in the low 40’s for months and between now and november things will only get worse. The negative campaign against him hasnt even started.
If Romney and the radical socialist from Chicago are tied after democrat convention, in real term it is a 5% GOP lead. Many people are afraid of saying they will not vote for the half black president for fear of being called racist. I will not put on Romney+Ryan bumper sticker on my car because the backers of the radical socialist from Chicago have many uncivil characters.
Obama is wondering where is Perot when you need him. A third party chipping off flakes is the only way Obama could win.
From your lips to God’s ears!!
After the Hate Fest next week R & R will start polling over the 50% mark...
At this time in the election cycle (Sept/Oct) you can usually add 5-10% to the R.
Obama is in big big trouble and they know it.