If Obama was speaking of 2012 then it was just nonsensical blathering. But over the long run, he is unfortunately correct.
Texas won’t be a lost cause like California anytime soon, because white voters in Texas are much more conservative than their counterparts in California. Republicans now routinely carry over 70% of the whites in Texas; this is why they dominate the state. It’s not because they do a little better with Hispanics than Republicans do in California. It’s because of the white vote...period. If the GOP did as well with white voters in California they wouldn’t dominate there because the electorate is more white in Texas, but they would at least be competitive and maybe win a few important races.
So if the GOP can keep winning this huge majority of white voters in Texas, they’ll avoid a California-style descent into oblivion and insignificance. But the trends aren’t good. I don’t know how to judge the movement into Texas of other Americans from other states. I don’t know which party this favors. We all know how liberals flee a liberal state that has been ruined by liberal policies, and then take the same destructive liberal politics to their new home. But I don’t know if they outnumber conservative Americans who are moving to Texas.
However, there is no question about how immigration breaks. It is a clear and obvious advantage for the Democrats. And we shouldn’t forget that it is legal immigration that is doing most of the damage. Yeah, I’m sure some illegals illegally vote, but the real danger from illegal immigration is their eventual amnesty and path to citizenship, because that’s the same thing as a path to voting for Democrats. But that’s still only a possibility. And it would do no good to stop all illegal immigration if we continue to allow mass legal immigration. The source for most immigration, whether it’s legal or illegal, will inevitably produce many more future Democrats than Republicans.
The idea that conservatism can win over Hispanics and Asians while their populations are growing so rapidly is a pipe dream; it’s pure fantasy. It’s not that the GOP is harsh or unwelcoming; it’s because Hispanics and Asians simply favor the big govt, (and to an extent the ethnic-grievance) policies of the Democrats. I don’t see how anyone can dispute that.
We should be able to comfortably hold Texas for a little while longer, but the GOP will absolutely lose it’s lock on it. Texas will become a battleground state, and when that happens it’s hard to see how the GOP can stay relevant competitive in Presidential elections.
I think a lot of people are over estimating the Progressives and the Food Stamp Presidents popularity with minorities in Texas. You see that popularity in the rat holes of Austin, Central Houston, etc., but it is vastly different in the other areas of Texas where people work for a living and not sit around home playing video games and subsisting on welfare.
‘it’s hard to see how the GOP can stay relevant competitive in Presidential elections’
The GOP hasn’t been relevant in some time now.