Some of you people are amazing.
Obama 2nd term = 100% chance of collapse and communism
Romney 1st term = 50-75% he is a disaster.
Vote for the 25% he does the right thing. Its not a matter of anything but facing R E A L I T Y.
An Obama 2nd term just because some peoples’ little pony and unicorn was not on the ticket in the first place is insane.
If there’s a 25% chance it’s actually the other way. It’s all about election trends.
Other than Clinton’s 2nd and W’s 1st the party of the sitting president always loses seats in both chambers during midterms. Really those are the only 2 times in over 120 years the party of the sitting president gained seats, and both of those were because the opposing party went for a very stupid strategy which the people rebelled against. It’s important to note that the second mid-term generally has much bigger losses for that party than the first. Look at W’s second, that was a par performance by the dems, they hit the average 2nd mid-term gains almost exactly.
Also most presidents win their second term. Some guys really screw it up like Carter or are dealt a bad hand like Bush1 (sitting VPs almost never win and when they do win their 1 termers), but in general if you can win it once you can win it twice.
The party of a sitting 2 term president almost never wins a 3rd term. Sitting VPs have only won twice since the ticket was formed, and even when the sitting VP doesn’t run the nominee from that party is toast.
So historically here’s how things will go with the different wins:
Obie wins the dems gain some seats, but not many, in November probably not enough to gain control of the House. But in 2014 they take a massive bath, losing control of the Senate. Then 2016 comes and the GOP candidate is almost guaranteed a win, with coattails to increase GOP control of Congress.
Or Romney wins, with coattails which kind of helps but not that much because coattails are never as big as midterms. But of course he’s a socialist so he doesn’t undo ANYTHING of Obie’s. Meanwhile 2014 comes and the GOP loses seats, the Dems probably control the Senate and we still probably hold the House. Then Romney wins in 2016 again with small coattails. Then in 2018 comes the second midterm bloodbath, now we’ve got a liberal R in the White House and the Dems control both chambers, then in 2020 the Dems win, with coattails, now they have solid control of Congress AND the White House, which of course was previously occupied by socialists for the last 12 years AND gets another one for the next 8.
The long term numbers game says we’re better off with an Obie win, hit him hard at midterms and finally run an actual conservative in 2016. Of course even if the numbers didn’t say that, I DON’T VOTE FOR SOCIALISTS EVER PERIOD. It ain’t about my pony, it’s about core values. Socialism is bad, socialists are scum, the letter after their name doesn’t change that.
And THAT is 100% hysteria.