BATTLE FOR THE WHITE HOUSE: RCP Electoral Map

Real Clear Politics ^ | RCP Staff

[pistolpackinpapa]

RCP ELECTORAL MAP: 270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win

Obama: 221 ........ Toss Ups: 136 ........ Romney: 181

SOLID Dem: 175 ........ Leaning Dem: 46

SOLID GOP: 181 ........ Leaning GOP: 50

LIKELY STATES

OBAMA (175)

California (55) Connecticut (7) Delaware (3) District of Columbia (3) Hawaii (4) Illinois (20) Maryland (10) Massachusetts (11) New Jersey (14) New York (29) Rhode Island (4) Vermont (3) Washington (12)

ROMNEY (131)

Alabama (9) Alaska (3) Arkansas (6) Idaho (4) Kansas (6) Kentucky (8) Louisiana (8) Mississippi (6) Nebraska (5) North Dakota (3) Oklahoma (7) South Dakota (3) Tennessee (11) Texas (38) Utah (6) West Virginia (5) Wyoming (3)

TOSS UP:

Colorado (9) Florida (29) Iowa (6) Michigan (16) Missouri (10) Nevada (6) New Hampshire (4) North Carolina (15) Ohio (18) Virginia (13) Wisconsin (10)

[pistolpackinpapa]

Please Note: There are more "Solid" GOP Electoral Votes than there are "Solid" Dem EVs. And out of the Toss-ups (of which the most went for Obama in 2008) I'm saying that the GOP picks up: Florida (29), Iowa (6), Missouri (10), New Hampshire (4), North Carolina (15), Virginia (13) and Wisconsin (10) FOR A TOTAL OF 268.

If I'm right on the above, then all we need to do is pick up any ONE of these States: Colorado (9), Michigan (16), Nevada (6) or Ohio (18) and I think that is extremely doable.

[pistolpackinpapa]

I will say one more thing: There are a whole lot of Mormons in Colorado, and even Nevada. Either of those will put Romney over. A victory in Ohio and/or Michigan would just be icing on the cake.

[Shadowfax]

It’s discouraging to me that it’s even this close. How could even one state go to Obama?

[ScottinVA]

Should be able to snare Ohio out of that group, especially as Ohioans view the unraveling economy, job scarcity, etc. Once those paying attention are made to understand employers are holding off hiring pending a final resolution of Obamacare (i.e., repeal of first Obama, then Obamacare itself).

But, to make that happen, the Repubs need to get in the sh*t.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

I am (very) encouraged by this.

Go Mitt.

Now about that VP pick...

[ken5050]

FYI...there is a very kewl interactivewebsite, www.270towin.com, that lets you design and model your own electoral college vote scenarios. Do check it out.

[smokingfrog]

bfl

[ScottinVA]

Three big-EV states firmly and permanently under the dems’ jackboot, i.e., CA, NY and IL, account for 104 EVs. He’s actually going to have to work for MI, PA and WI this time around.

[wbill]

NC is not a "toss-up". Solid red here, this year.

At least IMHO.

[pistolpackinpapa]

It’s discouraging to me that it’s even this close. How could even one state go to Obama?
______________________________________________________________________________________________

Two Reasons: We are a (1) Racist Society and (2) Entitlement Culture.

95% of the Blacks vote for Obama because he is Black. Is that not Racist.

47% of Americans are on the Governmment dole. Go figure.

[pistolpackinpapa]

Now about that VP pick...
______________________________________________________________

I could live with: Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rob Portman, Susan Martinez or Allen West.

No Chris Christie or Jeb Bush.

[pistolpackinpapa]

I will certainly check it out. Thanks.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

We are leading, and we don’t even have a real candidate yet.

This could be a wipeout.

Or it could end up close. Nobody give up though. It won’t be a blow-out, for sure.

[Cringing Negativism Network]

You seem to have neglected Sarah Palin.

Just saying...

[RabidBartender]

I’m not sold on Wisconsin or Iowa. When’s the last time Wisconsin went GOP? And Iowa has been so fruity over the past decade, I wouldn’t count on them.

Colorado, Nevada, and Ohio seem more likely to me.

[pistolpackinpapa]

He’s actually going to have to work for MI, PA and WI this time around.
_______________________________________________________________________________________

I agree on MI and WI. I have no hope for PA. They always tease but end up going Dem in the Prez Election. They have ot gone for a GOP Candidate since George H. W. Bush in 1988.

[Grams A]

We know that the press will start reporting results beginning with exit polls very early in the day and vote counts on the east coast as soon as the polls close. This one fact alone has a greater effect on whether people in other parts of the country decide to go vote or not than any other single factor.

[pistolpackinpapa]

We are leading, and we don’t even have a real candidate yet.
______________________________________________________________

I’ve said this before and I say it again. The GOP Convention ends August 30. The Dem Convention ends September 6. Romney will get a HUGE boost from the Convention. Obama will have less than a month to overcome his lead and it won’t happen. In 2008, the Dems had their Convention first. Obama got a big Convention boost; McCain never caught up.

[biggredd1]

why would you take someone from their day job? It shouldn’t be anyone you mentioned other than West. If romney is smart, he will choose a conservative for the ticket and that person should be...Sarah Palin !!!!!!!!!!

[pistolpackinpapa]

I almost included Sarah. She is the “political” love of my life, right behind Ron Reagan. But, let’s face it; she has been do demonized by the Media, many people think she is an airhead and I really don’t think she could deliver many Indys or Undecideds. You and I know she is great, but for the rest of America, perception is reality.

SARAH PALIN FOR SECRETARY OF ENERGY!!!! That’s the job she wants anyhow.