BTW, the “respectable” people (ones not using crazy reasoning like mine) were almost ALL saying Roberts would vote against Obamacare, unless Kennedy already upheld Obamacare and Roberts just wanted to make the court not appear divided. I was one of very few people who have been saying for some time that I feared Roberts was compromised and would uphold Obamacare because Soros told him to.
I looked at your posting history and see that you were totally silent at FR in the last 2 months so you didn’t stick your neck out on this at all.
I did. And my suspicion was correct. If Roberts believes Congress can mandate any thing they want as long as any money involved can be called a tax, then why did he say that Congress can’t stifle corporations’ political speech? Couldn’t that be called a tax? I mean, corporations COULD spend money on campaigns, it’s just that the government would punish - er, TAX them at a different rate if they chose to do so... If Roberts was so interested in people suffering the consequences for electing idiots who trample them, then I would think his past decisions would have shown that - and then the REASONABLE (non-nuts) people like you would have had this decision pegged a long time ago.
Why didn’t that happen, Stat Man? Why did only the “kook” get this one right?
“I looked at your posting history and see that you were totally silent at FR in the last 2 months so you didn’t stick your neck out on this at all.”
a) I’ve had things more important going on in my life than coming on to Free Republic to speculate about what the Supreme Court would decide.
b) Why should I make a prediction and “stick my neck out” when I had NO IDEA how they would rule? They ruled. Now I’m here to voice my opinion about it and read other people’s opinions.
c) Pretending that the frequency with which a person expresses his opinion has anything at all to do with the validity of his opinion is, at best, ignorant, and at wost, dishonest, offensive and evil.
“Why did only the “kook” get this one right?”
In fact, numerous Democrats “got this right” and predicted Roberts would vote this way. For much simpler reasons such as that he believed it to be the correct decision.
In my opinion, the only people who REALLY got it right were those who said, “We don’t know what will happen, because we don’t know what is going on inside those nine heads.” Not entirely true, because roughly six of the judges are 100% predictable. Lots of people, you included, guessed right. Lots of people, you not included, guessed wrong. Guessing right doesn’t prove your reasoning to be right.
And I have far more respect for the people who said “I think that most likely (x) will be the outcome because I think that Judges (y and z) believe (a and b)” as opposed to anyone who said “I know that (x) will be the outcome because I know for a fact that Judge (y) is being coerced by a conspiracy involving evil villain (z) and those dastardly ideological organizations (a and b).”
In such cases, it is irrelevant who ends up correctly guessing the outcome. One is making a reasonable guess, whereas the other is discarding reason in favor of fanciful speculation.