In 2010, Walsh won because of the Green Party candidate. Walsh beat Bean by about 300 votes, and the Green Party candidate got about 3000 votes.
However, his new district has a higher percentage of Republicans. Why do you think that Walsh might lose? His new district has few democrat elected officials.
Very incorrect, the democrats drew it for them to win. It went from a district Obama won by 56-43 (56-44 for Bush in 2004) to one he won by 62-37. And Walsh has been swimming in bad press for the past 2 years.