[SamAdams76]

Excellent analysis - this author knows what he is talking about. About the only bone I have to pick in the whole piece is with the Youth voters. The college-age kids that flocked to him in 2008 might be older and wiser this go around but their ranks have been replaced with a new batch of starry-eyed 18-21 year olds who are now old enough to vote and just as clueless as the same age group four years ago.

The good news is that this is a wash and all the other voter blocs mentioned will be moving away from Obama this time around as the author says. I'm on board with the landslide but will try not to be over-confident.

[StAnDeliver]

"About the only bone I have to pick in the whole piece is with the Youth voters. The college-age kids that flocked to him in 2008 might be older and wiser this go around but their ranks have been replaced with a new batch of starry-eyed 18-21 year olds who are now old enough to vote and just as clueless as the same age group four years ago."

Except 4 years later, they know there are no jerbs. 46% unemployed in their chosen field two years after graduation. And what is Bobo's opponent talking about every time his mug is onscreen? Jerbs.

[wbill]

their ranks have been replaced with a new batch of starry-eyed 18-21 year olds who are now old enough to vote and just as clueless as the same age group four years ago

Well, that's accurate enough, but I don't think that they'll turn out in the same numbers. Obama has lost the "Coolness" factor. When you're not the coolest kid at the table anymore, there's no way to get it back.

All the youth won't flock to Romney, either. They'll just stay home......which is OK by me.

[xsmommy]

Two of my kids will be old enough to vote here in Virginia this November, voting in a presidential election for the first time. They are conservatives as are their friends. I also have a niece and a nephew in Ohio, casting their first presidential election votes against Obama. I am not convinced that the youth vote is going to be what it was the last time.

[Iron Munro]

"starry-eyed 18-21 year olds"

Otherwise known as Nixon's Revenge.