I also know former hardcore conservatives who voted for Clinton over George H W Bush because they believed George H W Bush really was going to stop Social Security. Clinton's tactic (as dishonest as it was) worked. That's not horsecrap, that's fact.
I also know that America voted for Obama's handouts above John McCain. That's not horsecrap either, that's fact.
And I also know that there is a tipping point in this society when the unemployment rates gets to a point where even jobless conservatives face depending on the government or splitting up the family... they quickly turn to government handouts and put self-interest and the children above politics. That's human nature. Survival.
If it comes to living in a car with your children or accepting a government hand-out there's a tipping point there where we will lose some conservatives to Obama (especially when the alternative is someone like Romney).
If the alternative were a Ronald Reagan then yes it may be horsecrap. But Mitt Romney is NO Ronald Reagan.