[RC one]

It adds up to 265 EVs for Romney and 273 for Obama. If Romney wins New mexico too, it's 270 so that's one more swing state he basically has to win. He might have better luck in nevada of course which would also get him to 270. He also has to win all of Nebraska's EVs which McCain failed to do btw. This all adds up to long odds. Furthermore, national polls are mostly irrelevant. The only polls that matter are the polls taken of likely voters in the aforementioned swing states.

[Impy]

It adds up to 265 EVs for Romney and 273 for Obama

No. It would add up to 264 under the previous allocation (not 265) but it adds up to 270 now because we had a census and the number of votes each state gets has changed, this occurs every 10 years.

Of this I'm 100% certain. I have no idea how you are doing your counting but it's wrong, you are giving Obama 5 phantom votes.

http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

Please use that link and see for yourself so we can stop arguing about your incorrect math on top of more important things.

He also has to win all of Nebraska's EVs which McCain failed to do btw.

Please, that 1 vote is the surest gain of all. Obama won the Omaha congressional district by a hair after trying hard to do so. In a fantasy world where he is more popular than last time maybe he wins it again, in the real world where he is less popular he has 0 chance of winning it and would be a fool to waste a dime trying.

You are untitled to your view that Romney has "long odds" but most serious analysts would disagree. Only people saying it will be an easy Obama win are democrat shills and people who think Romney is worse than Obama and thus want Romney to lose. Neither of them live in the real world in terms of correctly evaluating the race. Honestly saying a guy tied or AHEAD in the national polls has "long odds" is just completely absurd. He has even odds at worst as of today. The election isn't today but that's where it stands now.