No offense but BS. Obama will win with 287 to 334 EVs. Even if Romney manages to win Ohio and florida, Obama still wins 287-251. I believe the house will remain in GOP hands and we have a fair shot at taking the senate. I think there’s a real possibility of a senate tie which will leave it under democratic control should Obama win. Bottom line: four more years of bitterly divided government in America. Write that down.
I think Romney wins every state that Bush took in either 2000 or 2004. That gives him 296. Wisconsin was probably stolen from Bush both times he ran, but they have voter ID now. So I expect Romney will pick it up to get to 306.
If Romney can turn around the close states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Minnesota, then he is at 352. He might pick up some other states in this case too.
As far as the toss up states in the event of a close election, I believe they are CO, MI, MN, NM, NV, OH, PA and WI. That means the Romney starts ahead by about 258 to 186. Romney can get over the top by winning MI, OH, PA or any two of the other thought if he only gets NM and NV it is thrown into the House where Romney would win based on the GOP majority in 32 delegations.
You leaving VA in Osama’s column? Doubt it.
If Osama wins it’s narrowly.