[Tupelo]

Sir, I think you are dead on 100% right. Add in the following:
95% of the black vote
80-85% of the Latino vote
65% of the Jewish vote
60% of the women's vote
30-35% of the white male vote
Obama wins by 5-10 points.

[Dutch Boy]

Do you think an 80-85% Latino vote is still possible with what they are doing to Zimmerman? I think they overplayed their race card on this one. The narrative assume he was white. They did everything to make that happen but the truth smashed the narrative. I am thinking more than a few fence sitters will be less likely support the race baiter in chief.

[SandRat]

30-35% of the white male whimp metrosexual vote

[AnAmericanAbroad]

I agree with you both. I’ll add this to your factors:

Being as how Mitt Romney is the GOP nominee, at minimum 10% of conservatives abstain from voting for POTUS. Possibly, as high as 18-20%.

Factor that in, and I’d Obama wins by 10 points quite handily.

[sueQ]

80-85% of the Latino vote
65% of the Jewish vote
30-35% of the white male vote

---

What a about all those white Jewish Latinos like George Zimmerman? I think he is dead wrong. And I think his “I give up” attitude sucks. Most of the 47% that don’t pay taxes will not be motivated to get off their butts in November. Courage, people! Don’t give in to this crap. Vote ABO.

[omega4412]

You forgot
348% of the ghost vote