[nathanbedford]

I have posted repeatedly my suspicion that Obama will contrive an October Surpris, probably a strike against Iran in the run-up to the election.

With two carriers in the Gulf it should not be hard to generate a provocation. If Obama strikes Iran, one could expect the polls to swing wildly in his favor as Americans typically rally to the flag and to their President.

In a stroke he will convert public opinion to his cause and eliminate his liabilities for astronomical gasoline prices.

It is possible that the Obama administration is leaking against Israel's presence in the neighboring country (whose name escapes me) because he wants to control timing and leave himself free to order such a strike in late summer.

All of this is rank speculation on my part.

[FreeAtlanta]

I think it is has more weight than speculation.

Democrats have shown that they believe that the military and war is only for political gain at home. They attack Republicans for using the military in legitimate causes, then they turn around and use it in unnecessary causes to try to bolster their polls.

I suspect it won’t work this time. America is war weary, and needs a break. If Obama gets us into a big war with Iran, it might backfire. If it grows into a war with Russia and China, it won’t even matter.

I wish we had an adult administration. Bush spent way too much money, but I felt comfortable with him in these situations. With Obama, I am terrified.

[Robert Warren Linville]

Azerbajian ??

[caww]

Yes, specualtion Nathan...however a good call IMO. You've indeed said all along that Mambo would likely initiate war, but of course making it appear he's simply responding....and let's not forget he' decided now to make his campaign about "foreign affairs"....which by the way Romney and Santorum are both very weak on.

If I remember right movement of carriers etc. is unspoken "language" between nation leaders regardless of what they are speaking. "Actions speak louder than words" would seem about right.

So I can see your post right on....all pending how Mambo s numbers play out for the upcoming election. But it does seem he needs something to wramp up his numbers as his record itself isn't going to do it. Also, any race or class wars he's initiated would at least be put on the back burner.

[daniel1212]

All Too Plausible.

[theDentist]

And on the day of his re-nomination, he and the Mooch will stand up and announce they will be having another baby. Whether she really is expecting would have nothing to do with it.

[Drill Thrawl]

In a stroke he will convert public opinion to his cause and eliminate his liabilities for astronomical gasoline prices.

But what happens to public opinion when the hundreds of jihadis already here strat their contant rain of small scale attackes?