If Santorum announced Newt as his VP pick do you think 100% of Newt supporters get on board? Furthermore, do you think a Santorum/Gingrich ticket can catch Romney, or would they just be able to prevent him from getting to 1144?
I don’t know, it might not be possible anymore. Last time I tried to calculate was before Illinois, and I wasn’t counting on Mitt to win Illinois as big as he did. I was hoping for a repeat of Ohio/Michigan. I’m pretty sure there’s no way they’d catch Romney under Santorum’s ticket. They would need the 141 Gingrich already has to put them over the top at the convention. But I just tried to do another rough estimate based on them getting 50% in most states except Romney strongholds and 65-75% in other states, and Romney/Paul hit 1,230 while their combined was only about 1,060. So they would probably really need to catch fire and outperform themselves to pull it off.