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To: JediJones
[What’s interesting is that Paul and Santorum are actually pulling votes away from Romney far more than they take away from Newt.]

One reason I haven't agreed that Santorum should leave the race. Theoretically all the evangelicals who just won't vote for Newt are more likely to go for Santorum than Romney. If he leaves, then I thought Romney might benefit. Seems to be supported by the polls.

69 posted on 01/22/2012 9:18:31 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: greeneyes

“Theoretically all the evangelicals who just won’t vote for Newt are more likely to go for Santorum than Romney. If he leaves, then I thought Romney might benefit.”

Depends on how proactively Gingrich addresses his sexual and marital history. Against Romney is the whole Mormon issue. If Romney had a solid conservative track record, evangelicals would probably support him despite the Mormon baggage, but he does not. There is -nothing- there to attract evangelicals except perhaps an absence of petty vice.

As for Gingrich, yes, he has a record of sins (as do we ALL), BUT he has addressed them in a way that connects with evangelicals. He has acknowledged wrong, expressed his repentance and reached for redemption. That is the tale of the prodigal son, of David, or of Paul. THAT is more captivating for most evangelicals than a smug “X don’t smoke nor drink nor chew, and X don’t kiss no girls who do” line of approach.

Evangelicals should NOT be confused with Puritans or the Inquisition. Evangelicals understand repentance and forgiveness and restoration.


160 posted on 01/23/2012 2:04:39 AM PST by Psalm 144 (Preparation ZOT, for prompt relief from annoying romnoids.)
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To: greeneyes
If you look at the internals of the last PPP poll from SC, Gingrich leads with the evangelical demographic by near 2 to 1 over Romney and Santorum: 41% vs. 21%.

Further confirmation, CNN exit polls from SC also mirrored this trend: Gingrich 44%, Romney 22%, Santorum 21%.

So, Santorum's presence isn't really necessary if all he's there for is to siphon evangelical votes from Romney. Newt's already got that niche effectively covered, and would benefit even more if Santorum would drop out.
169 posted on 01/23/2012 2:34:59 AM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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