i think republicans will be more motivated than democrats in 2012.
That statement may not hold true if Romney gets the nomination.
The media and the libs know that, thus the (liberal) full court press to get him the nomination is now open and operating.
I agree, but I think that was the case in 2010 as well. Heck I think it is usually the case, but particularly since the country has seen the kind of job Obama is doing. Thus Republicans are more likely than Democrats to vote in bad weather and low turn out elections favor Republicans. My guess would be that the marginally motivated drones are more likely to vote in a general than a mid term.