The missing precinct in Jefferson (a GOP) County is the Town of Lake Mills. That precinct went for Walker last November by 120 votes, but that was with a turnout of 31,000 in the county outside of Lake Mills. The turnout yesterday w/o Lake Mills was about about 22,200 or about 72% of the November turnout. 72% of 120 votes is a gain of 86 votes or so for Prosser, but that assumes he ran as strongly as Walker did in that county (he actually had a margin 6 points less than Walker did).
In any event, I would forecast a gain of 70-90 votes for Prosser from Jefferson County once Lake Mills is in.
The missing precinct in the GOP Taylor County is Maplehurst. I can’t find any historical vote information. I did find the population, it’s 377 out of the 20,000 or so in the county, so it’s a bit less than 1/50th of the county. Given that there are 30 precincts in the county, this is a smaller one, so unless it’s really Republican, we’re talking maybe a 20-30 vote gain for Prosser from Taylor County.
That’s plus a 70-90 vote gain from Jefferson County.
Unless the two missing Milwaukee Precincts are GOP ones or there are a bunch of uncounted military ballots, Prosser will be trailing going into the recount.
I’ve lost the link to the AP county-by-county page. My husband must have closed it out of the tray this morning. Do you have the link handy? Thanks, and thanks for all you’ve been doing.