"Of course you know this means war"
Or it should to. A quick response from Seoul and NK goes back to being not noisy, at the very least. But it probably won't happen, and NK will go crazier and crazier.
Posted on 12/02/2010 2:58:08 PM PST by jhpigott
"Of course you know this means war"
Or it should to. A quick response from Seoul and NK goes back to being not noisy, at the very least. But it probably won't happen, and NK will go crazier and crazier.
Zero sends a secret message to Great Leader and then this sh!t starts up. No accident.
Weakness, thy name is Obama.
Logically speaking, North Korea can not hope for a weaker President or a weaker America than this moment. Anyone making that calculation would realize that circumstances will never be more in their favor. If North Korea does not attack now, while Obama is President, then we really never have to fear them at all, ever.
China want's none of this, a serious buildup in that area means China loses quite a bit of ground in its own aspirations of taking back Taiwan.
If I had to take a guess, Everyone surrounding the NORKs are trying to grease the palms of the higher echelon (including Military) for the green light to off the NORK leadership...Just a guess however.
Just my $0.02
More likely state of the art BM-21s /sarc
” China want’s none of this, a serious buildup in that area means China loses quite a bit of ground in its own aspirations of taking back Taiwan. “
For another ‘take’ on China’s position in this —
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2636228/posts?page=24#24
I personally believe China is maneuvering to keep the commerce flowing and not get f'd with when they go at Taiwan which could very well happen without a shot being fired.
I guess if we start hearing scuttlebutt about China building up on the NROK's border ONLY, we'll know their out of the game and protecting against a surge of refugee's.
But could be a head fake too, their sneaky little bastards.
I don’t think this story is saying any units being deployed or moving.
The article seems to be about of an adjustment in North Korea’s arsenal. They have about 100 more rocket launchers than previously estimated.
” when they go at Taiwan which could very well happen without a shot being fired. “
Precisely - If, by backing the US into a no-win corner, China can achieve virtual hegemony over the entirety of SE Asia - including Taiwan - without expending one single bullet, they just may be calculating that a couple of months, or years, of hits to commerce might be worth the price....
The fly in the ointment, in your take, is that there is a third possibility: the US does get involved, the NK government falls apart quickly, and a new government emerges that isn’t hostile to the US. In this case, the damage to the Korean peninsula may be far less than anticipated, and China would really end up the loser, both in terms of having a buffer between itself and a pro-US SK, and also losing out on the opportunity to dominate a newly formed unified Korea.
Of course, if they really do think the way you do, this gives them enormous incentive to do everything they can, covertly, to support both the NK government, and also the NK war effort ...
It’s time for South Korea to TCB.
More blustering from the Norks. We have known all along that they could destroy Seoul within minutes. Nothing new.
” that there is a third possibility: the US does get involved, the NK government falls apart quickly, and a new government emerges that isn’t hostile to the US. “
Yes, there are an infinite number of possibilities, and I made no attempt to cover them all - and the one that you postulate is somewhat lower on the risk-reward tree than the two ‘low risk’ - ‘high reward’ options I examined...
Should your scenario come to pass (not an impossibility) China has still positioned itself - through ‘saying the right things’, while covertly encouraging NK - to step in as the ‘peace broker’, and negotiate a return to status-quo-ante... China still loses nothing, and gains somewhat in regional influence....
The point I want to make is that China may, from its point of view, believe it has virtually no incentive to ‘be on our side’ in this situation.....
Canned sunshine is the proper response to a Nork artillery attack on Seoul.
Thanks jhpigott.
Next thing you know and the East Germans will march on West Germany!
The fact is, they do not want to cause panic or a stampede, so American nationals there in Seoul are probably going to be the last to get the word by our bumbling State Department and this will all be hush-hush. I suspect Filipinos, Indonesians, Thais, Taiwanese, etc. will be starting to trickle out soon, either selling what they have or leaving it and hoping they can come back to their homes and apartments intact once this threat secedes.
Concur with your assessment.
The only reason this problem exists today
is because ‘we’ were tired of fighting WWII.
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