“O’Donnell’s strength lies in Kent and Sussex Counties, the two southernmost. She should be able to establish strong margins in both. She probably needs [to win] 70:30 in Sussex, 55:45 in Kent and lose by 45:55 in New Castle (the northernmost county). Turnout is likely to be variable, [with the] highest turnout in the areas where she’s strongest, and that will boost her.
RCP: What kind of turnout are you expecting, and how might high or low turnout affect the results?
Dr. Pika: Expectations are for 15-25 percent turnout of Republicans. Higher turnout should help Castle since O’Donnell’s voters seem to be more strongly motivated.”
...
County Precincts M. Castle
(GOP) C. O’Donnell
(GOP)
Total 325/325 27,021
47% 30,561
53%
Kent 49/49 3,518
36% 6,151
64%
New Castle 213/213 16,891
58% 12,369
42%
Sussex 63/63 6,612
35% 12,041
65%
Turnout 32%
Pretty accurate.
That turnout is the most impressive part of her win. Outstanding!
Let the liberal Repubs hold their noses and vote for the Conservative for a change. People follow leaders w/conviction.
Pray for America