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To: johnthebaptistmoore
"How can Obama, who is sinking like a stone in approval ratings, be a lock for two terms"

Well first, unless the economy improves in a very substantive way between now and Oct. 2012, the Easter Bunny could beat Obama (probably). But, there are some specific demographics challenges Palin needs to over come, somehow, if she wants to unseat Obama, absent some kind of additional economic meltdown.

Latinos are problematic. She polls even worse than McCain with Latinos. They hate her. Obama would move from 72% Latino support, to something approaching his black support, 95%. George Bush did almost 18 points better with Latinos than McCain did. And, they'll be an even bigger percentage of the electorate in 2012.

Young people. They hate her too. Unless the next GOP nominee can cut into the youth vote enjoyed by Obama, it makes it that much more difficult to beat him.

And women. For whatever reason, Palin under-performs with women across the general electorate. Even in this poll - polling Republicans - her percentage of support is the same amongst men & women - 17%. You would think the female candidate would do much better with Republican women, and women in general. But, she doesn't.

48 posted on 07/16/2010 7:46:16 PM PDT by OldDeckHand
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To: OldDeckHand
Despite your endless attacks on Gov. Palin (for Romney,
or which RINO this time?)

Gov. Palin has massive support.

RESULTS – Feb. 2010 Early Freerepublic.com straw vote FOR GOP PRESIDENTIAL NOMINATION
Governor Palin was the overwhelming choice of freepers who voted!

Palin - 102 votes - THE WINNER
None Of The Above - 12 votes
Barbour - 10 votes
Hunter - 8 votes
Demint - 7 votes
Pence - 3 votes
Ryan - 3 votes
Jindal - 2 votes
Jeb Bush - 2 votes
Liz Cheney - 2 votes
Mitch Daniels - 2 votes
Newt Gingrich - 2 votes
Thune, Gary Johnson, Joe Wilson, Scott Brown, and Rick Perry all got a vote.
No Votes for Mitt RomneyCARE, Ron Paul, Huckabee, or Pawlenty .... 0 votes (none, zed, nada, doughnut, oh-no) “


67 posted on 07/17/2010 3:54:53 AM PDT by Diogenesis (Article IV - Section 4 - The United States shall protect each of them against Invasion)
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