Agreed 2 years and 3 months is eternity in politics.
Not that it matters but I have predicted every presidential winner since JFK in 1960 when I was a freshly arrived foreign student in U of Iowa. I predicted Johnson, Nixon wins and Ford loss. I predicted Carter would lose, and Clinton would defeat Bush41. Obama beating McCain was so obvious. One was fresh, youthful, tall, and cool. Other was a pudgy short balding man with maverick qualities and even many republicans were not excited by him.
As soon as the republican nominee is decided, I will post my prediction right here.
Heh. Well, not to shake your confidence but an octopus predicted the winner of the World Cup matches!