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Setback Delays ‘Top Kill’ Effort to Seal Leaking Oil Well in Gulf
The New York Times ^ | 5/27/10 | CLIFFORD KRAUSS, JOHN M. BRODER and LIZ ROBBINS

Posted on 05/27/2010 2:03:28 PM PDT by moose2004

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To: butterdezillion
Congress critters can say whatever they want in a press conference because holding them to the same standard as us peons might dampen their “dialog”

Only extends to remarks made on the floor of the House. Extended, I think, to remarks made in committee hearings and other public business meetings in the Capitol. If Congresscritter says the same slanderous thing in a presser out of town or over in Virginia, he's liable.

101 posted on 05/28/2010 1:50:58 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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To: mojitojoe
A lot will depend on the loop current in the Gulf and if they stop it before there are any tropical storms or hurricanes.

NWS was saying yesterday -- it was on a TV Wx report I watched last night -- that water temps are way up all across the Atlantic tropics (they displayed maps, accessible online at NOAA's website), and that there will be lots of hurricanes this year.

102 posted on 05/28/2010 1:56:03 PM PDT by lentulusgracchus
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To: Wonder Warthog
No source, just obvious

Not obvious to those who tested it:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/national/excerptfrom2003report.pdf

103 posted on 05/28/2010 2:36:27 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: Wonder Warthog
the deep leak has more time to disperse, so its impact will be less.

Or perhaps fractionate:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/science/0521spill.pdf

And/or stay for some time underwater in large plumes, depleting oxygen and killing crabs, shrimp, mussels, fish...

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N25115351.htm

And remember, the greater amount of oil below the surface is not instead of, but in addition to the huge amount on the surface.

104 posted on 05/28/2010 3:17:55 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: lentulusgracchus

Thanks. So as long as all the oozing pus infecting the system originates in DC it’s fine. Home base. The damage can destroy people as far out from there as possible, but as long as the Congress critters have one toe touching home base they can lie all they want.

At least we know what the rules are, for those who still believe the rules get followed.

Was Murtha in DC when he called the Haditha Marines murderers and said that the recon tapes would prove it?


105 posted on 05/28/2010 3:47:37 PM PDT by butterdezillion
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To: D-fendr

Link material is irrelevant to environmental damage.

I don’t see what point you’re trying to make with this linked material.


106 posted on 05/28/2010 3:51:21 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: D-fendr
"And remember, the greater amount of oil below the surface is not instead of, but in addition to the huge amount on the surface."

The oil on the surface, and the oil under the surface have to add up to the total flow out of the well, which is known.

If the oil "fractionates" and breaks up into smaller particles, this is a GOOD THING, because this gives a larger surface area for bacteria to munch on, and the longer the oil takes to REACH the surface, the better, because that gives time for the oil to be diluted by seawater.

All of the effects you appear to be quoting will be worse for shallow spills, given the same amount of oil.

107 posted on 05/28/2010 3:51:43 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog
The oil on the surface, and the oil under the surface have to add up to the total flow out of the well, which is known.

Ok, how much is it and according to whom?

If the oil "fractionates" and breaks up into smaller particles, this is a GOOD THING

Oh? What chemicals does fractionation result in?

108 posted on 05/28/2010 5:21:01 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: Wonder Warthog
I don’t see what point you’re trying to make with this linked material.

That it's not like a shallow spill where the oil rises quickly to the top - there can be a much larger kill zone.

109 posted on 05/28/2010 5:26:11 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: ScreamingFist
If they have fractured the bed formation.....which was a worry......

Nope. The 'mud' they were pushing into the pipe (below the failed parts) was being forced back up out the holes in the pipe.

110 posted on 05/28/2010 5:29:32 PM PDT by GreenStreak
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To: D-fendr
"Ok, how much is it and according to whom?"

A consensus opinion seems to be 10,000 bpd. I put no credence in the "estimates" by NPR and others. They have no data to work from. BP and the Coast Guard do.

"Oh? What chemicals does fractionation result in?"

Uh, the same ones that came out of the well. All "fractionation" does is more or less separate them somewhat by density. However, the more fractionation and dispersion that happens, the less toxic the oil is, and the easier it is for the naturally-occurring bacteria who can metabolize it to do so.

111 posted on 05/28/2010 5:30:56 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog
Uh, the same ones that came out of the well.

Not quite.

112 posted on 05/28/2010 5:34:49 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: moose2004

In his own words Obama owns this top-kill operation:

“Now, when it comes to what’s happening on the surface, we’ve been much more involved in the in situ burns, in the skimming. Those have been happening more or less under our direction. And we feel comfortable about many of the steps that have been taken. There have been areas where there have been disagreements. I’ll give you two examples.

Initially on this top kill, you know, there were questions in terms of how effective it could be. But also what were the risks involved? Because we’re operating at such a pressurized level, a mile underwater, and at such frigid temperatures that the reactions of various compounds and various approaches had to be calibrated very carefully.

That’s when I sent Steven Chu down, the secretary of Energy, and he brought together a team — basically, a brain trust, some of the smartest folks we have at the national labs and in academia — to essentially serve as a oversight board with BP engineers and scientists in making calculations about how much mud could you pour down, how fast, without risking potentially the whole thing blowing.

So in that situation, you’ve got the federal government directly overseeing what BP is doing, and Thad Allen is giving authorization when finally we feel comfortable that the risks of attempting a top kill, for example, are — are sufficiently reduced that it needs to be tried.”


113 posted on 05/28/2010 5:39:37 PM PDT by csmusaret (Remember, half the people in this country are below average)
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To: Wonder Warthog

The concensus keeps rising - as more if found beneath the surface. A third large plume was found yesterday - six miles wide from the surface down to the floor.

Moving beneath the surface it is harder to contain and collect. There is a great deal of life in this zone.


114 posted on 05/28/2010 5:44:25 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: D-fendr
"Not quite."

Yes, quite. There may be a very, very few that react with some or other natural chemicals and change form, but the only thing fractionation does is separate them by density. The more important effect is to break up the large "blobs" into small ones. Smaller blobs to two things, allow more of those chemicals that might actually be soluble in water to dissolve, and increase the surface area available for bacteria to attach to, and start "eating" the oil.

115 posted on 05/28/2010 5:48:33 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog

It’s quite different to skim crude off the surface than to deal with benzene, toluene, etc., along with suspended oil under the surface.


116 posted on 05/28/2010 5:53:09 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: D-fendr
"The concensus keeps rising - as more if found beneath the surface. A third large plume was found yesterday - six miles wide from the surface down to the floor."

No, actually it doesn't.

Look, the sum of all the plumes has to add up to the total flow out of the wellhead. This is simple arithmetic. It doesn't matter how many plumes they locate. The total emitted amount hydrocarbons is known from the well flow.

BP and the Coast Guard have data on how the gas/oil ratio has changed with time, and are in the best position to calculate the total amount of hydrocarbons that have been spilled. Nobody else has this data (yet).

117 posted on 05/28/2010 5:57:02 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: D-fendr
"It’s quite different to skim crude off the surface than to deal with benzene, toluene, etc., along with suspended oil under the surface."

Look, the magnitude of toxicity is directly correlated to concentration. The more spread out (horizontally or vertically) the less toxic the spill is. The fraction that they can "skim" is tiny compared to the total emitted (and always has been in EVERY spill to date). The thing the eliminates oil spills isn't capturing the oil, it is good old nature cleaning herself up by the natural process that have been working for literally millions of years.

118 posted on 05/28/2010 6:01:03 PM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog
The total emitted amount hydrocarbons is known from the well flow.

No, it's not. It's been emphasized over and over again, they don't know.

119 posted on 05/28/2010 6:20:35 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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To: Wonder Warthog
The thing the eliminates oil spills isn't capturing the oil, it is good old nature cleaning herself up by the natural process

Natural processes are at a much greater disadvantage when the oil remains at all depths - and in large concentrations. Which is the case here.

120 posted on 05/28/2010 6:22:56 PM PDT by D-fendr (Deus non alligatur sacramentis sed nos alligamur.)
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