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Brown Has 9.6% Lead in New Poll (WOWSERS!!!)
InsideMedford ^ | 1-17.2010 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 01/17/2010 5:02:19 PM PST by tcrlaf

A poll conducted by the Merriman River Group (MRG) and InsideMedford.com indicates that Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley 50.8% – 41.2% in the contest to fill the seat of the late Senator Ted Kennedy. Liberty Party candidate Joe Kennedy pulls in just 1.8% support, while 6.2% of voters are still not sure.

Brown and Coakley both have most of their supporters locked in. 98% of both candidate’s supporters say they are definitely or probably going to vote for their candidate. In contrast, 22% of Kennedy’s supporters are just leaning toward him, suggesting that Brown and Coakley may both want to take aim at swaying those voters.

Not surprisingly, nearly all of Coakley’s supporters approve of President Obama’s job performance, while three-quarters of Brown’s supporters disapprove. Coakley may see a glimmer of hope in the fact that more than two-thirds of undecided voters approve of the president’s job performance while only 6% disapprove, especially in light of the president’s swing through the state to campaign for her later today.

47% of Brown’s supporters say that taxes, jobs, and the economy represent the most important issue to them in this race, while half of Coakley’s supporters say that healthcare reform is most important to them. Undecided voters are nearly evenly split between the two issues—40% say they’re most concerned with taxes, jobs, and the economy with 37% saying that healthcare reform that most concerns them. “For Coakley to have a chance, she needs to convince voters that the Democratic party’s agenda for the economy is the right one, and she needs to do it fast,” said MRG’s executive director, Matt Fitch.

The recent dust-up between the candidates over abortion laws seems to have had minimal impact on the race. Only 8% of Brown’s supporters and 5% of Coakley’s supporters say it’s the most important issue to them.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: asswuppin; brown; coakly; election; ma2010; marthacoakley; massachusetts; obamacare; scottbrown
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Here's the internals. They make a lot more sense than ARG's seem to.

http://insidemedford.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/ma-senate-poll-results.pdf

From the Article:

Merriman River Group (MRG), founded in 1998, is a full service consulting organization specializing in election management, opinion research and communication. In 2008 and 2009, MRG provided nationally representative telephone survey data for the for the Harvard Kennedy School’s Center for Public Leadership’s annual National Leadership Index: A National Study of Confidence in Leadership.

1 posted on 01/17/2010 5:02:20 PM PST by tcrlaf
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To: tcrlaf

http://www.brownforussenate.com/call-from-home-registration

dont believe anything until he is elected volunteer and call tomorrow.... Freep this so there is no question as to who won.. and why... focus......... now is the time


2 posted on 01/17/2010 5:04:17 PM PST by gibtx2 (keep up the good work I am out of work but post 20 a month to this out of WF Check)
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To: tcrlaf

Obama got his rear end handed to him by hecklers at his “rally”. It took less than a year, and America has started to wake up. I’m not saying Bush, Republicans, or even conservatives have all the answers. Far from it. But at the very least it didn’t take long to hit a U-turn from the destructive road a majority of the nation mistakenly turned down.


3 posted on 01/17/2010 5:04:49 PM PST by domenad (In all things, in all ways, at all times, let honor guide me.)
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To: tcrlaf

Nice! But I am still worried about ACORN, Black Panthers and the other vermin who corrupt voting as a living.


4 posted on 01/17/2010 5:04:57 PM PST by Dengar01
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To: tcrlaf

Anybody seen the new PPP poll that is supposed to be out tonight.


5 posted on 01/17/2010 5:05:19 PM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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To: gibtx2

BTTT !!!!


6 posted on 01/17/2010 5:05:34 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But have a plan to kill everyone you meet)
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To: tcrlaf

If you don’t want to tell the liberals the election is on Wednesday, then tell them to vote for Joe Kennedy to “Keep Ted’s seat in the Kennedy family”... :0)


7 posted on 01/17/2010 5:05:55 PM PST by COBOL2Java (Big government more or less guarantees rule by creeps and misfits.)
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To: domenad

Sweet Gridlock!


8 posted on 01/17/2010 5:06:31 PM PST by screaminsunshine
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To: tcrlaf

Living here I would say Brown is up by 2-3 points. This thing could go either way and it ALL depends on who turns out.


9 posted on 01/17/2010 5:07:18 PM PST by mrsixpack36
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To: tcrlaf

If this holds true, Katie will be doing the CBS Evening News wearing her black attire.


10 posted on 01/17/2010 5:07:40 PM PST by TomGuy
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To: St. Louis Conservative; All

New PPP Poll is due out around 10.30, 11PM EST

CrossTarget has a NEw one coming out at Midnight Pacific

Gonna get REAL INTERESTING tommorrow!!!!


11 posted on 01/17/2010 5:08:36 PM PST by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: tcrlaf

I don’t know if a 10 percent lead will be enough to cover all the voter fraud on Tuesday.


12 posted on 01/17/2010 5:08:38 PM PST by Farmer Dean (every time a toilet flushes,another liberal gets his brains)
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To: tcrlaf

Over-polled Republicans and under-polled Dems...it’s closer than this implies.


13 posted on 01/17/2010 5:08:58 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: COBOL2Java

LOL


14 posted on 01/17/2010 5:09:12 PM PST by SeattleBruce (God, Family, Church, Country - Keep on Tea Partiers - party like it's 1773 & pray 2 Chronicles 7:14!)
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To: TomGuy

THE END OF OBAMUNISM MAY BE AT HAND!!!

Let us all join hands in the spirit of “HOPE!” for the winds of “CHANGE!” sweeping across the nation!!!!


15 posted on 01/17/2010 5:10:19 PM PST by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: Dengar01
And they are out in full force pulling out all of the stops. That is why we have to act like we are down by 3. This is a winnable race at this point but it certanly can go either way here. At this point whoever has the better GOTV effort will win (and Brown seems to have all of the energy).
16 posted on 01/17/2010 5:11:20 PM PST by mrsixpack36
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To: tcrlaf

Never heard of either organization, but I’d be wary. Medford is just north of Boston and is solid D country. (mix of old-line D’s and nouveau moonbats)


17 posted on 01/17/2010 5:11:25 PM PST by sonnysteelgrave (Keep the Change)
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To: tcrlaf

I doubt the Dims can manufacture enough votes to overcome a 9% difference. But I’m not convinced it’s a 9% race.


18 posted on 01/17/2010 5:12:52 PM PST by savedbygrace
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To: domenad

“Obama got his rear end handed to him by hecklers at his “rally”.”

Video or new story?!?!?!?!?


19 posted on 01/17/2010 5:15:24 PM PST by Chi-townChief
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To: tcrlaf

I don’t trust pollsters.

Maybe they’re blowing smoke up our butts and creating false expectations.

Beware.

The only poll that counts is Tuesday, and there are ‘Rats in charge of that one - look for them to delay certification as long as possible if Brown comes out on top.


20 posted on 01/17/2010 5:15:54 PM PST by Keith in Iowa
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To: savedbygrace
I doubt the Dims can manufacture enough votes to overcome a 9% difference. But I’m not convinced it’s a 9% race.

The polls could have Brown up by 40, 50... 80%. What really matters though is how the voting machines are voting.

21 posted on 01/17/2010 5:18:46 PM PST by Ezekiel (The Obama-nation began with the Inauguration of Desolation.)
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To: tcrlaf

Well, I don’t know if it is this big a lead, but every poll I’ve seen posted has him in the lead, so it is a good sign. Just hope there isn’t any funny business. I really want to see Brown shock the world.


22 posted on 01/17/2010 5:20:24 PM PST by goodolemr
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To: domenad; tcrlaf; TigerLikesRooster

CNBC’s Jim Cramer: Brown Win Tuesday Will Cause Huge Stock Rally
As Investors Celebrate ‘Pelosi Politburo Emasculation’

http://bit.ly/5kzIe9

interesting :)


23 posted on 01/17/2010 5:21:10 PM PST by lainie (The US congress is full to the brim of absolutely disgusting thieves who deserve humiliating ouster.)
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To: tcrlaf

I will believe it when I see their aircraft carriers all burning, smoking, sinking.


24 posted on 01/17/2010 5:21:56 PM PST by hemogoblin (Obama - The Potentate of Parasites)
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To: tcrlaf

New PPP Poll is due out around 10.30, 11PM EST

CrossTarget has a NEw one coming out at Midnight Pacific

Gonna get REAL INTERESTING tommorrow!!!!

Where in blue h*ll is Ras. Every day last week it seenmed he had a poll. Now he is nowhere to be found.


25 posted on 01/17/2010 5:22:51 PM PST by stevecmd
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To: tcrlaf

This is great news. We need a real wide margin, because the Rats cheat.


26 posted on 01/17/2010 5:22:54 PM PST by keats5 (Not all of us are hypnotized.)
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To: Chi-townChief
YouTube
27 posted on 01/17/2010 5:24:26 PM PST by Rocko ("Too much of nothing can make a man a liar" -- Bob Dylan)
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To: Chi-townChief

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2010/01/17/obama_heckled_at_coakley_rally.html


28 posted on 01/17/2010 5:25:30 PM PST by keats5 (Not all of us are hypnotized.)
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To: tcrlaf

Obummer is about to go down in flames with Coakley.


29 posted on 01/17/2010 5:27:25 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: tcrlaf
Boston Globe will be releasing a poll Monday...I can see the headline now, race tightens as Coakley`s lead slips to just 9 points
30 posted on 01/17/2010 5:29:46 PM PST by Friendofgeorge ( SARAH PALIN or BUST.)
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To: Friendofgeorge

Daily KOS/Research2000 Poll:

“Coakley Up By 43 Points As Obama Sweeps Election!!!!”

R2K consistently reports that Obama’s Approval Numbers in the Northeast are 86%, OR HIGHER! They had it at 92% in the fall!


31 posted on 01/17/2010 5:32:12 PM PST by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: tcrlaf

On a positive note, even a close race in such an incredibly liberal state gives one pause to hope about the country’s future!


32 posted on 01/17/2010 5:33:20 PM PST by Williams (It's the policies, stupid)
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To: Gondring
D3 on page 4 of the pdf file says:

Democrat 34%

Republican 17%

Independent 48%

Don’t know 1%

33 posted on 01/17/2010 5:35:14 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: keats5; Rocko

Thanks - pretty slick!!!


34 posted on 01/17/2010 5:35:16 PM PST by Chi-townChief
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To: tcrlaf

save


35 posted on 01/17/2010 5:36:30 PM PST by massmike (...So this is what happens when OJ's jury elects the president....)
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To: Gondring
Over-polled Republicans and under-polled Dems...it’s closer than this implies.

I would have asked the party affiliation question differently. Have seen data showing quite a few people in MA "consider themselves" in a different category than their actual registration.

IIRC, only 11% or so are actually registered R but when you ask the question "do you generally consider yourself a RAT, Republican or independent?" about a third call themselves Republicans.

36 posted on 01/17/2010 5:36:41 PM PST by freespirited (People talk about "too big to fail." Our government is too big to succeed. --Chris Chocola)
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To: Anti-Bubba182

Right...compared to party registration, those lean heavily toward GOP.


37 posted on 01/17/2010 5:40:39 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: freespirited

Yes, and it’s highly volatile.


38 posted on 01/17/2010 5:41:35 PM PST by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: gibtx2

dont believe anything until he is elected volunteer and call tomorrow.... Freep this so there is no question as to who won.. and why... focus......... now is the time
- - -

I signed up 2 days ago and have never heard from them - maybe it’s full.


39 posted on 01/17/2010 5:43:46 PM PST by carolina71
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To: screaminsunshine

“Sweet Gridlock!”

This is my political party now.

Go GOG! Grand ‘Ol Gridlock!

*****If you live in Mass. please take video of everything remotely suspicious during this election.*****

Don’t let the voter fraud and intimidation fade away into history because of lack of easily accessible evidence.

Post the videos on YouTube, or your favorite video sharing site, and spread the word. Backup/Make a copy of your video before handing it over to law enforcement or press of any kind.

If you need technical help, please contact me “Boucheau” here at FR and I will assist however I can (I’m a computer tech, among other things).


40 posted on 01/17/2010 5:51:26 PM PST by Boucheau
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To: carolina71

I bet they are really busy and doing a great job. I just donated again.
Everybody, come on! This is winnable. Brown can make history and this election can be an early win to save our Republic! Forward with Confidence!

http://www.brownforussenate.com/


41 posted on 01/17/2010 5:58:41 PM PST by RedMDer (Recycle Congress in 2010, 2012...)
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To: Gondring
The Commonwealth of Massachusetts: Enrollment Breakdown as of 10/15/2008

Statewide Totals:

Democrats 36.95%

Republican 11.62%

Unenrolled 50.75%

I don't think it is that bad based on the official 10/15/08 numbers compared to a self identified expression of party affiliation now.

42 posted on 01/17/2010 6:00:51 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: tcrlaf
In the end I think it will be Brown by 2 or 3%. Thats after the shenanigans.
43 posted on 01/17/2010 6:08:44 PM PST by Lockbar (March toward the sound of the guns.)
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To: Anti-Bubba182

Looks like they polled about right based on those numbers.


44 posted on 01/17/2010 6:09:39 PM PST by italianquaker (My bartender knew about the attempted Christmas attack before odumbo)
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To: Dengar01

I feel the same way! Thats how Franken ended up getting in there!


45 posted on 01/17/2010 6:12:50 PM PST by Bush gal in LA
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To: tcrlaf

Still gotta count the votes.

Still gotta get past Eric Holder, ACORN, SEIU, etc.

Still gotta get past any SCOTUS challenges...I predict Clarence Thomas and Scalia will become and will be true patriots within the next 2 years and will be visible and audible in what they say and do...that is to make the US understand the purpose and importance of the Constitution...I believe instead of being quiet and only writing opinions...they’ll instead break from tradition and be visible and audible...

Rembember, Rush makes crazy predictions...I ain’t Rush, but I think something will push real patriots like them over the edge, too.


46 posted on 01/17/2010 6:14:23 PM PST by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: Dengar01; All

“other vermin”?

SEIU; Planned Parenthood; AFL-CIO; Emily’s List; NEA; GLAAD........


47 posted on 01/17/2010 6:16:35 PM PST by Steelfish
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To: italianquaker
I am thinking the Democrat base would slide toward independent and some GOP, especially if they self identify on a ROBO Poll.

Anyway we will know Tues. I wish Rassmussen Had a poll later than the last one(Polled 1-11 published 1-12) on this.

48 posted on 01/17/2010 6:16:35 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: Dengar01

You Massachussetts folks need to stay vigilant! This is not over! Get out and vote!!!!!!! Don’t let Obamarx win!


49 posted on 01/17/2010 6:16:50 PM PST by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: tcrlaf
"......to fill the seat of the late Senator Ted Kennedy."

Take quite a few to fill that seat.


50 posted on 01/17/2010 6:24:13 PM PST by maddog55 (OBAMA, Why stupid people shouldn't vote.)
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