Yeah, I’m figuring a decade to be “perfect”. Less to be “good enough”
“Good enough” now speeches and images will be replaced with “perfect” images later.
Look how the 0bama birth certificate kept getting new features every time someone said something (like the impressed seal, the cert number, etc) was missing.
It’s no accident that half a million google hits on image searches of “0bama birth certificate” were ‘disappeared’ between July 14 and July 17.
They’ll probably be able to cheat perfect in a decade. Expect buns, crew cuts and other “low motion” hair styles to come back into vogue because many characters in popular TV shows will start to wear them. That’ll be easier to animate and will speed the transition while another 1 or 2 processing leaps happen to be able to run the processing of the real thing. Of course first they’ll have to figure out how these things (light refraction and movement) happen in the real world, then how to program it, then climb the processing power issue. That’s where the real unpredictability comes in, there’s been plenty of things we thought would be easy to figure out that are still stumping the high-IQ crowd.