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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll (BO 46%, JM 45%. With Leaners: BO 48%, JM 46%)
Rasmussen ^ | 9-5-08 | na

Posted on 09/05/2008 7:31:30 AM PDT by frankjr

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To: frankjr

To me, it’s inconceivable that the polling should be so close. How can so many people be willing to vote for that charlatan? How can they be so foolish? But we on FR, who are for the most part fairly sharp-witted, associate with others who are intelligent, and so we may tend to forget that there are a lot of unthinking people out there in the wide world.

Personally I don’t think that having Obama/Biden a point or two ahead is good news at all, though some of you seem to do so. I think McCain/Palin should be ten points ahead.


61 posted on 09/05/2008 8:05:10 AM PDT by ottbmare
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To: mbraynard
Compare Jack French Kemp with Palin - this time around you have a difference...
62 posted on 09/05/2008 8:06:10 AM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: Owen
So FReepers can no longer demonstrate their passion with a checkbook.

Yes they can! I wish we could put this false rumor around here to bed. If people could not donate to the campaign, the McCain/Palin site would simply say "No thanks." Instead it specifically spells out where the money will go, to a Victory 2008 fund. That fund will work for McCain/Palin's election.

Donate

The below is taken straight from this donation site, still active as of two minutes ago:

McCain-Palin Victory 2008 is a joint fundraising committee by the McCain-Palin Compliance Fund, Republican National Committee, and Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, and Pennsylvania Republican Parties. Because the McCain-Palin Campaign is participating in the presidential public funding system, it may not receive contributions for any candidate's election. However, federal law allows the McCain-Palin Campaign's Compliance Fund to defray legal and accounting compliance costs and preserve the Campaign's public grant for media, mail, phones, and get-out-the-vote programs. Contributions to McCain-Palin Victory 2008 will go to the Compliance Fund, and to participating party committees for Victory 2008 programs.

63 posted on 09/05/2008 8:06:39 AM PDT by impeachedrapist (On Free Republic PBD [political bipolar disorder] rules!)
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To: impeachedrapist
The bounce will recede. Historically that happens. It depends on the size and half of that disappears. That's why the FR obsession with daily polling up to the election is absurd and completely uninformative.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

64 posted on 09/05/2008 8:06:41 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: ottbmare

They may, in truth, BE 10 pts up, and the polls show even.

Combine the historical high polling of dhims in presidential elections (compared to election results), plus the Wilder effect, and you could easily have a 10 pt discrepancy.

And the left will SCREAM about fraud when the polls are so wrong.

Everyone, make sure you lie to the exit pollsters!


65 posted on 09/05/2008 8:07:09 AM PDT by MrB (You can't reason people out of a position that they didn't use reason to get into in the first place)
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To: TNCMAXQ

Dole never had a chance in 1996. He took one for the team.
He was Ford’s VP in 1976 and was not considered a winner, but a Great man and Vet.

Clinton had the Internet Stock Market soaring, Incumbency, and GOP congress giving him cover.


66 posted on 09/05/2008 8:09:28 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: impeachedrapist

Yes, bounces normally recede because the energy/excitement cannot be maintained over a long period of time. Palin has the potential to make things different this time because she was only introduced to America about a week ago. Many Americans still don’t know much/anything about her. As she is introduced to them over the next few weeks, she has the potential to increase her support. This is can’t happen for McCain, Obama, or Biden because they are already a known entity.


67 posted on 09/05/2008 8:09:29 AM PDT by tatown (How to piss off a liberal: Work hard and be happy!)
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To: gallandro
1992 and 1996 Slick elections gave us warnings that are just as valid today; never underestimate the stupidity of the American voter.

Just look at the situation today. Seven years after we were attacked by muslim terrorists, a person with muslim roots and terroris friends is leading in the presidential polls against a guy who fought for our country! Furthermore, this guy has zero accomplishments outside of academe.

Talk about stupid

68 posted on 09/05/2008 8:10:19 AM PDT by balls (Never underestimate the stupidity of the American electorate)
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To: impeachedrapist

Thanks for the link, getting my Debit Card right now.


69 posted on 09/05/2008 8:10:46 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: counterpunch
McCain is utterly brilliant.

Rush thinks so, too.



A Future Beyond November
Conservatism has united the Republican Party.




Obama Camp Defends National Joke of the "Community Organizer"
They're scared. They know they've been hit -- and they're flailing away.

70 posted on 09/05/2008 8:11:32 AM PDT by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: frankjr
“Tracking Poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Virtually all of the interviews for today’s update were completed before McCain’s speech last night. Roughly two-thirds of the interviews were completed before Palin’s speech on Wednesday night.”

Which means that only 33%% of this poll was post-Palin.

71 posted on 09/05/2008 8:13:19 AM PDT by cookcounty ("A ship in harbor is safe, but that's not why the ship is built." ---Governor Sarah Palin)
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To: RoseofTexas
Listen up folks, this talk about a LANDSLIDE and He’s TOAST is nonsense! This is going to be a EXTREMELY close race

Agree. Facts are, very few states are in play from the last election. IF McCain can hold Ohio, Florida, New Mexico and Colorado then he wins. The only way it is a "landslide" is if he somehow pull Pennsylvania and Michigan then McCain wins 324-214. Very unlikely though...this will be very, very close.

72 posted on 09/05/2008 8:13:42 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
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To: RoseofTexas

Well put, but let us remember that if there is one thing the RNC is good at is negative campaigning. Obama has had a free ride for a couple of months since Hillary dropped out.

Maybe many disagree, but Bill Ayers will be the new Willie Horton.

Reverend Wright might fade along with Farrakhan, but Ayers is the White son of a CEO(COM ED) who will not apologize for his Terrorism and hopes to kill cops.


73 posted on 09/05/2008 8:15:53 AM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: xzins; frankjr
Obama campaigning in rural Ohio is unheard of and terribly unproductive — it’s a desperate move....rural Ohio will not go for him.

FWIW, I think it's going to come down to OH., CO., NV. The problem is figuring out Black turnout and Hispanic backlash.

74 posted on 09/05/2008 8:16:07 AM PDT by wmfights (Believe - THE GOSPEL - and be saved)
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To: wmfights

McCain has polled higher in Ohio for a month now. I think he’s up by 4-6 right now.

The problem in Ohio is that the Republicans lost the governors office due to Bob Taft’s corruption and pleading guilty. That meant that we lost HONEST Ken Blackwell as the Secty of State, which oversaw elections. Now we have a Dem overseeing elections. Count on outrageous election day judicial decisions that favor the Dems.

It cannot be close in Ohio this time. McCain will need that 4-6 point spread. More if he can get it.


75 posted on 09/05/2008 8:20:47 AM PDT by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain -- Those denying the War was Necessary Do NOT Support the Troops!)
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To: Federalist Society
Dole was a weak candidate, people couldn't relate to him, and he was running against an incumbent President.

He also had Jack Kemp as a running mate. Nice guy, but not Mr. Electricity. We've got Sarah Barracuda on our side (thank goodness she's on our side too).

76 posted on 09/05/2008 8:21:16 AM PDT by 6SJ7
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To: wmfights
In the order of difficulty (from easiest to hardest, from McCain's point of view), the battlegrounds are NV, FL, OH, VA, CO. Since IA and NM (Bush's states in 2004) will likely go to Obama, McCain will need to take all 5 of these battlegrounds to pull it off. He needs to put a good team on the ground in all these states, hopefully RNC funding will help with that. Make no mistakes, McCain/Palin are still underdogs, but the chances went up this week.
77 posted on 09/05/2008 8:25:08 AM PDT by ubaldus
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To: Ingtar; Federalist Society
The only difference between Dole and McCain is that McCain picked Palin to bail him out.
BS.
Bob Dole wouldn't fight back.
Bob Dole wouldn't criticize Clinton because he had "too much respect for the office."
Bob Dole never really gave America a reason to elect him over the guy already in the job.
Bob Dole effectively conceded the election before it ever began.
Because of this, he never had a chance.
John McCain is a scrappy fighter. They didn't call him McNasty for nothing.
America loves a fighter, especially when he is the under dog.
Palin sealed the deal for McCain, this election is over, but McCain was surprisingly competitive the entire time, and would have over taken Obama in the end no matter what.
 
78 posted on 09/05/2008 8:28:07 AM PDT by counterpunch (John McCain - For the LOVE of Country)
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To: All

The media (and even our side with its pessimism and feelings of foreboding) have been acting like the ascension of Obamamessiah was inevitable and McCain was a mere speck of sand in the way or his march to history.

I don’t see why there’s anything wrong with looking at these polls and celebrating that we have a real chance of winning this thing! But it won’t mean anything if we lose! So keep donating!


79 posted on 09/05/2008 8:32:52 AM PDT by Chet 99 (http://www.mccainpalinvictory2008.com/)
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To: ubaldus

I think Iowa is now seriously in play because of Palin.
New Hampshire is also in play.
But I think Palin now gives McCain a real chance to expand his take into Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

Really, Palin puts every blue state in play because women make up 51% of the electorate, and the fact that she fought back and won after her family was grotesquely attacked will surely have the effect of increasing McCain’s female vote across the board, opening up new voters who were just not available to him before.

Palin is not a stand-in for Hillary. She had to earn the admiration and support of women in her own right, and thanks to the MSM, she did just that Wednesday night.


80 posted on 09/05/2008 8:34:28 AM PDT by counterpunch (John McCain - For the LOVE of Country)
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