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McCain, Nixon lead in Missouri [Public Policy Polling, McCain +10, D-Nixon (gov) +6, likeleys]
Public Policy Polling ^ | Aug 20 2008 | unknown

Posted on 08/20/2008 10:53:35 AM PDT by Mike Fieschko

Raleigh, N.C. – John McCain has expanded his lead over Barack Obama in Missouri, according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling.

McCain’s advantage is 50-40, a seven point increase from PPP’s July poll, which showed him leading by just three points.

Obama’s biggest issue is with white voters, who support McCain by a 56-35 margin.

“There aren’t enough black voters in Missouri for Barack Obama to win it if he can’t make things more competitive among white voters,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “That’s going to be his challenge if he wants to have any chance at winning the state.”

McCain leads across every age group, and has the advantage with both men and women. Obama will need a good margin of victory with women if he is to take Missouri but for now that’s not coming through.

The news is better for Democrats in the Governor’s race. Jay Nixon leads Republican Kenny Hulshof 48-42. In other statewide races Lieutenant Governor Peter Kinder and Secretary of State Robin Carnahan hold double digit leads, while in the open seats for Attorney General and Treasurer Democrat Chris Koster and Republican Brad Lager each hold a narrow advantage.

In a look ahead to the 2010 race for Senate, it appears both Russ Carnahan and Dick Gephardt could give Kit Bond a run for his money if they chose to seek the seat. Bond leads Carnahan 46-43 and Gephardt just 44-43 in hypothetical match ups. PPP showed Robin Carnahan within the margin of error against Bond last month as well.

PPP surveyed 750 likely voters from August 13th to 17th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.6%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Missouri
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electiongovernor; electionpresident; hulshof; jaynixon; mccain; mo2008; obama; racism
Before Saddleback. From the pdf available here. Much more detail in the pdf.

Didn't see this posted. Apologies if it was.
1 posted on 08/20/2008 10:53:35 AM PDT by Mike Fieschko
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To: Mike Fieschko
There aren’t enough black uninformed voters in Missouri for Barack Obama to win it if he can’t make things more competitive among white informed voters

There, fixed it ...

2 posted on 08/20/2008 11:07:30 AM PDT by tx_eggman (Privatizing profits and socializing losses is no way to run an economy)
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To: Norman Bates

ping!


3 posted on 08/20/2008 11:09:41 AM PDT by KansasGirl ( b/c Obama is just creepy.)
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To: Mike Fieschko

Actually, I like Nixon even though he is a Democrat. Who is he running against? If I understand what he has done as AG, he has been a good one and not terribly mixed up in politics. Correct me if I am wrong as I have been away from Missouri for seven years.


4 posted on 08/20/2008 11:17:04 AM PDT by RichardW
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To: Mike Fieschko

Dick Gephardt?!?!? Arrrggghhhh!!!!


5 posted on 08/20/2008 11:22:29 AM PDT by impeachedrapist
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To: Mike Fieschko
PPP is a RAT polling firm as well.

McCain has been leading pretty much every poll out of Missouri recently. Looks like it may be time to move them out of "battleground" status.

6 posted on 08/20/2008 11:24:15 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: TitansAFC; meandog; onyx; MARTIAL MONK; GulfBreeze; Kuksool; freespirited; Salvation; furquhart; ...
The McCain List.

John McCain leads 50% to 40% among likely voters in this historic indicator of swing states, Missouri. This is a Democrat poll.

7 posted on 08/20/2008 11:29:36 AM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: Mike Fieschko

Can you say “McCain LANDSLIDE?”


8 posted on 08/20/2008 11:37:44 AM PDT by Salvation (†With God all things are possible.†)
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To: Salvation
Given today's polls are of registered voters, you can bet McCain is up by double digits among likely voters. The MSM is still fooling itself into thinking this is just a poll swing. Obama has led since the spring and he's finally blown it! They're trying to massage the bad news as best as they can.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached."

9 posted on 08/20/2008 11:46:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
The MSM is still fooling itself into thinking this is just a poll swing. Obama has led since the spring and he's finally blown it! They're trying to massage the bad news as best as they can.

_____________________________________________________

The real problem is that McCain has 90% of blacks voting against him and only 56% of the Whites. It is awful that 56% of the whites are too racist to vote for Obama.

10 posted on 08/20/2008 11:53:13 AM PDT by JAKraig (Surely my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: goldstategop
The MSM is still fooling itself into thinking this is just a poll swing. Obama has led since the spring and he's finally blown it! They're trying to massage the bad news as best as they can.

_____________________________________________________

The real problem is that McCain has 90% of blacks voting against him and only 56% of the Whites. It is awful that 56% of the whites are too racist to vote for Obama.

11 posted on 08/20/2008 11:53:19 AM PDT by JAKraig (Surely my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: goldstategop
The MSM is still fooling itself into thinking this is just a poll swing. Obama has led since the spring and he's finally blown it! They're trying to massage the bad news as best as they can.

_____________________________________________________

The real problem is that McCain has 90% of blacks voting against him and only 56% of the Whites. It is awful that 56% of the whites are too racist to vote for Obama.

12 posted on 08/20/2008 11:53:38 AM PDT by JAKraig (Surely my religion is at least as good as yours)
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To: Norman Bates

These polls in the last two days have to be devastating to the Dems.

MO and OH are looking RED.
Only CO and VA are looking iffy right now.

Wow!

Maybe, just maybe, that far-out scenarion where Hillary gets nominated after all could - possibly - happen............


13 posted on 08/20/2008 1:09:18 PM PDT by TitansAFC (In 2008, please vote GOP and show us that you love your country more than you hate John McCain)
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