Posted on 10/10/2006 10:08:27 PM PDT by freespirited
SurveyUSA has two new polls out tonight one in the House and one in the Senate that show Republicans Bob Corker in Tennessee and Rep. Geoff Davis in KY-4 actually picking up support since their previous polls in September. In Tennessee in polling taken all post-Foley (Oct 7-9) Bob Corker is now ahead of Rep. Harold Ford (Corker 48% - Ford 46%) in the battle for the seat held by retiring Majority Leader Bill Frist. That is a 5-point turnaround for Corker since SurveyUSA's last poll. In Kentucky's 4th congressional district Rep. Geoff Davis has seen a seven-point swing since mid-September and now leads 47% - 44%, again in polling taken all post-Foley (Oct 7-9).
So far there have been six national generic polls in the field after October 5th, and as I wrote earlier this morning, it is pretty clear from the RCP Generic Average that the Foley scandal has hurt Republicans at least as far as the generic ballot is concerned, but how much this would translate to individual races and whether this was only a temporary blip down were still very open questions.
I laid out the concerns for Republicans this morning, but of concern for Democrats is at the end of the day people don't vote for the generic candidate and voters in New York City, San Francisco and Kansas don't have a say in who is going to win Congress this year. It is voters in states like Tennessee and districts like Kentucky 4 where this election will be won and lost. And in a day of bad poll numbers for the GOP they would gladly trade a whole host of individual race polls showing improved Republican prospects in critical toss-up states and districts for every generic ballot predicting doom for the GOP.
Just what Georgians are telling me: two Dems are in a big fight for their seats. If we gain, we will get one or both of them, the Bean seat, and perhaps one or two others. I think Irey is coming on pretty strong.
This says the polls were taken Oct 7-9. The Ford/Corker debate was on Oct 7
IMHO Corker did much better than Ford. Don't know how many folks in TN watched the debate, but if many did, I suspect that may have swayed at least a few.
Here's the live debate thread, in case you're interested:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1715609/posts
Here's a thread on the (bogus) DSCC poll - It was taken Oct 2-4. There is disputing info in some of the posts:
Is Harold Ford Ahead in Tennessee?
DSCC ^ | 10/10/06 | Phil Singer
Posted on 10/10/2006 11:11:06 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) is releasing a new poll today that shows Ford with a seven-point lead over Corker, 51% - 44%. Hamilton Beattie & Staff conducted the survey among 800 likely voters statewide from October 2 to October 4, 2006. The margin of error was 3.3%.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1716961/posts
Here are a couple of other articles on Ford, that weren't so flattering to him (of course, I don't think the MSM talked about these as much as they did Allen/macaca, Allen/Jewish heritage,etc.)
Ford Called Self a Lawyer But Did Not Pass Bar Exam (Harold Ford Jr)
Chattanooga Times - Free Press ^ | October 7, 2006 | Michael Davis
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1715652/posts
Harold Ford Jr Insults His Grandmother and Our People
The Black Commentator ^ | Unknown | Glenn Ford & Peter Gamble
Posted on 10/07/2006 6:54:42 PM PDT by mcg2000
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1715657/posts
Junior still dancing around issue of abortion (Harold Ford Jr)
The Memphis Commercial Appeal ^ | October 8, 2006 | Wendi Thomas
Posted on 10/08/2006 5:07:38 AM PDT by mcg2000
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1715767/posts
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