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Mexico election too close to call (exit poll released)
Reuters ^ | 7/2/06 | Kieran Murray and Alistair Bell

Posted on 07/02/2006 6:24:13 PM PDT by lauriehelds

Kieran Murray and Alistair Bell

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Mexico's presidential election is too close to call between a leftist anti-poverty campaigner and the conservative ruling party candidate locked in a tie, a respected exit poll said on Sunday.

The extremely close vote raised fears of a political crisis if any of the main candidates challenge the results and call street protests.

Pre-election polls had showed Felipe Calderon of the ruling party and Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, the left-wing former mayor of Mexico City, in a virtual tie. Exit polls from Mexico's two main television station and the El Universal newspaper said they could not declare a winner.

El Universal said the race was between Lopez Obrador and Calderon. Neither of the TV stations mentioned Roberto Madrazo of the Institutional Revolutionary Party, or PRI, which ruled Mexico for most of the 20th century.

The Federal Electoral Institute was expected to announce official results at around 11 p.m. If it is unable to call a winner, Mexico could face days or weeks of legal wrangling and protests similar to the fight that followed the U.S. presidential election in 2000.

(Excerpt) Read more at today.reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Mexico; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: calderon; elections; exitpolls; mexicanelection; mexico; obrador; pollsschmolls
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To: Torie
About 50%. Cheer up. Tijuana has not reported much, and that dump loves PAN apparently.

All border states like PAN, because they are the ones that benefit the most from trade with the US. They know that if the socialists come into power then the billions in trade with the US will evaporate.

221 posted on 07/02/2006 9:37:45 PM PDT by burzum (Great minds discuss ideas, average minds discuss events, small minds discuss people.--Adm. Rickover)
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To: nj26

Here we go again with phantom "provisional ballots"...


222 posted on 07/02/2006 9:38:10 PM PDT by Heartofsong83
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To: Codename - Ron Benjamin

my spanish is pretty weak but are both guys pretty much saying they'll win when all votes are counted?
Also is PAN increasing its numbers in congress? I can't keep up it is too fast...hehe
We only have 4 Spanish channels here and it is like Nov. 2000 all over again...


223 posted on 07/02/2006 9:40:20 PM PDT by Will_Zurmacht
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To: All

I wonder what the breakdown of the vote for Mexicans that live in the US is?

I'd say most illegals went for Obrador.


224 posted on 07/02/2006 9:45:48 PM PDT by Heartofsong83
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To: AdrianR
Here is a state specific projection, with the same 32% of the vote in:

Calderon         Dinosaur        Socialist
0.381111015	0.195651701	0.356474568

225 posted on 07/02/2006 9:47:46 PM PDT by Torie
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To: Will_Zurmacht

Calderon said that the raw offical totals,polling company projections, and their internal projections show him winning.

He will respect the IFE(offical vote counting institution) policy and reserve declaring victory and awaits not only the offical vote Wednesday but the continuous updates.


Madrazo said he will respect the IFE and not make any comments as respects the result and will wait until Wednesday for the result.

PAN is projected to make gains the House of Deputies and the Senatebut without a majority.


226 posted on 07/02/2006 9:48:32 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Torie

Tabasco is also Obrador's home state, according to Wikipedia...


227 posted on 07/02/2006 9:49:12 PM PDT by Heartofsong83
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To: Heartofsong83

Tabasco is also the home state of Madrazo.


228 posted on 07/02/2006 9:49:53 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Reaganez

thanks, err, gracias..hehe.
I'm calling it a night. I did this one night in 2000, never again!


229 posted on 07/02/2006 9:52:07 PM PDT by Will_Zurmacht
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To: Reaganez

No wonder Calderon is below 4% there then! If a US state had 4% for the GOP in a Presidential election, that would be one crazy place!


230 posted on 07/02/2006 9:52:46 PM PDT by Heartofsong83
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To: Torie
About 50%. Cheer up. Tijuana has not reported much, and that dump loves PAN apparently. I live 5 miles from the border and Tijuana and I resent you calling Tijuana a dump. You are giving dumps a bad name. :-)
231 posted on 07/02/2006 9:52:49 PM PDT by Pylon (Remember boys, flies spread disease, so keep yours closed.)
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To: Pylon
Here is a state specific projection, with 44% of the vote in:


Calderon         Dinosaur        Socialist
0.3792034	0.198335257	0.355322608

232 posted on 07/02/2006 10:04:01 PM PDT by Torie
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Buena suerte, Calderon. Espero que un presidente mexicano nunca actúe como esto:

(What will happen if AMLO wins--replace Chavez with AMLO)
233 posted on 07/02/2006 10:07:59 PM PDT by burzum (Great minds discuss ideas, average minds discuss events, small minds discuss people.--Adm. Rickover)
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To: Torie

Ah Caramba!

That is reaching potential street violence margins.


234 posted on 07/02/2006 10:08:15 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Torie

Where are you getting the updates?

I live in Saltillo, Coahuila - a fairly prosperous and safe place.

The Socialist tried to pull a Gore and deny the tens-of-thousands that are in Germany for the World Cup from voting.


235 posted on 07/02/2006 10:08:39 PM PDT by Tigercap
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To: Tigercap

http://elecciones.reforma.com/prep2006/default.htm


236 posted on 07/02/2006 10:10:53 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: Reaganez

Thanks. The Socialist really concerns some of my amigos (I'm and ex-pat) that have worked and sacrificed hard.


237 posted on 07/02/2006 10:13:05 PM PDT by Tigercap
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To: Phibes

One of Obrador's favorite stunts is to gin up a rent-a-mob protest rally. Chavez does the same thing. If Calderon wins, he can expect "the people" to take to the streets.


238 posted on 07/02/2006 10:14:25 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: Tigercap

I am a bit worried too. I just got back (today) from 3 weeks in San Miguel, but I was not sure where this thing was going. Guanajuato is a big PAN area, so I knew that I was not getting the whole story.

But we had been down in 2000 as well and were anticipating the Fox victory then and are hoping for the same.

49.39 % in and a 433,000 vote lead.

fingers crossed.


239 posted on 07/02/2006 10:20:34 PM PDT by ChipShot
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To: ntnychik

50.79% of the vote in and Calderon leads by close to 441,000 votes.


240 posted on 07/02/2006 10:20:54 PM PDT by LdSentinal
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