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Earth's Limited Supply of Metals Raises Concern
Yahoo! News ^ | 1/20/06 | LiveScience Staff

Posted on 01/20/2006 12:12:40 PM PST by libertarianPA

If all nations were to use the same services enjoyed in developed nations, even the full extraction of metals from the Earth's crust and extensive recycling may not be enough to meet metal demands in the future, according to a new study.

To investigate the environmental and social consequences of metal depletion, researchers looked at metal stocks thought to exist in the Earth, metal in use by people today, and how much is lost in landfills.

Using copper stocks in North America as a starting point, the researchers tracked the evolution of copper mining, use and loss during the 20th century. They then combined this information with other data to estimate what the global demand for copper and other metals would be if all nations were fully developed and using modern technologies.

According to the study, all of the copper in ore, plus all of the copper currently in use, would be required to bring the world to the level of the developed nations for power transmission, construction and other services and products that depend on the metal.

The study, led by Thomas Graedel of Yale University, was detailed in the Jan. 17 issue of the journal for the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

For the entire globe, the researchers estimate that 26 percent of extractable copper in the Earth's crust is now lost in non-recycled wastes. For zinc, that number is 19 percent.

These metals are not at risk of immediate depletion, however, because supplies are still large enough to meet demands and mines have become more efficient at extracting these ores.

But scarce metals, such as platinum, face depletion risks this century because of the lack of suitable substitutes in such devices as catalytic converters and hydrogen fuel cells.

The researchers also found that for many metals, the average rate of usage per person continues to rise. As a result, the report says, even the more plentiful metals may face similar depletion risks in the future.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: earth; earthmetals; metals; metalsupply; naturalresources; recycling
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To: libertarianPA
lost in landfills

We can mine from the ground but can't mine landfills?

21 posted on 01/20/2006 12:31:27 PM PST by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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To: libertarianPA
There's an absolute s$%^pile of metals out in the asteroid belt just waiting to be mined.

I guess people forget that we can get places.

22 posted on 01/20/2006 12:32:08 PM PST by Centurion2000 (Governments want to copy all the data on you in existence, but will prosecute you for an mp3 copied.)
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Even if this were true it would be irrelevant. Why? Nanotechnology.


23 posted on 01/20/2006 12:32:23 PM PST by RobRoy
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To: libertarianPA
According to the study, all of the copper in ore, plus all of the copper currently in use, would be required to bring the world to the level of the developed nations for power transmission, construction and other services and products that depend on the metal.


Someone tell these morons that ALUMINUM is the metal of choice for transmission lines. It's cheaper, and its light weight for a given transmission capability (remember, diameter is irrelevant) make it ideal.
24 posted on 01/20/2006 12:32:39 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed (Your FRiendly FReeper Patent Attorney)
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To: libertarianPA

I want to say one word to you. Just one word.

Are you listening?

Carbon


25 posted on 01/20/2006 12:32:41 PM PST by Jack of all Trades (Never underestimate the speed in which the thin veneer of civilization can be stripped away.)
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To: palmer

"We can mine from the ground but can't mine landfills?"

We could, but do you want to be the guy who sorts the good stuff from the disposable diapers? The yuck factor is enormous.


26 posted on 01/20/2006 12:34:15 PM PST by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Thanks for posting that. I could remember there was a bet between enviros and an economist but I couldn't remember the specifics.


27 posted on 01/20/2006 12:45:26 PM PST by techcor
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To: libertarianPA
But scarce metals, such as platinum, face depletion risks this century because of the lack of suitable substitutes in such devices as catalytic converters and hydrogen fuel cells

Gotta read between the lines here. The eco-frauds are worried their hydrogen economy is going to go bust because they're going to drive the price of platinum through the roof.

One metal we will never run out of is aluminum. It comprises 8% of the earth's crust.

28 posted on 01/20/2006 12:46:32 PM PST by BigBobber
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To: Beelzebubba

Aluminum is also one of the best conductors of electricity there is after silver, copper, and gold. And yes, diameter does matter. The larger diameter the wire, the less resistance to current (just like a pipe) and the more current it can safely carry.


29 posted on 01/20/2006 12:46:43 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (G-d is not a Republican. But Satan is definitely a Democrat.)
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To: MineralMan

We give that job to the illegal immigrants.


30 posted on 01/20/2006 12:48:58 PM PST by libertarianPA (http://www.amarxica.com)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

And yes, diameter does matter. The larger diameter the wire, the less resistance to current (just like a pipe) and the more current it can safely carry.



Of course. My point was that while Aluminum requires a larger cross sectional area than copper for the same conductivity, that increased volume of aluminum still weighs less and costs less than copper.


31 posted on 01/20/2006 12:53:02 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed (Your FRiendly FReeper Patent Attorney)
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To: libertarianPA

I hope someone invents fiber optics, that will save us


32 posted on 01/20/2006 12:54:56 PM PST by 1Old Pro
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To: libertarianPA

Liberals/socialists/Communists wouldn't want some kind of world control over the world's minerals, administered maybe by the UN, would they?

"We can't let speculators stand in the way of progress" could be their way to sell it to the public.


33 posted on 01/20/2006 12:56:45 PM PST by preacher (A government which robs from Peter to pay Paul will always have the support of Paul.)
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To: libertarianPA

Now that euthanasia has been blessed by the SCOTUS, we won't have to wait as long before we start prying the tooth fillings out of the mouths of the old, infirm and disabled.


34 posted on 01/20/2006 12:57:09 PM PST by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum.)
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To: libertarianPA

Oh goody, another "We're doomed!" scam.


35 posted on 01/20/2006 12:59:39 PM PST by Professional Engineer (If courtesy pays, why are you in debt?)
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To: libertarianPA

One word... Plastics.


36 posted on 01/20/2006 1:14:37 PM PST by Ace of Spades (Sed quis custodiet ipsos custodes?)
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To: libertarianPA
Remember the tizzy some scientists were getting into over the cancelling of the Strategic Helium Reserve? Haven't hear of any problems since.

Free markets, when allowed to operate, are amazing at fullfilling demand.
37 posted on 01/20/2006 1:16:49 PM PST by arkham
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To: libertarianPA

According to the study, all of the copper in ore, plus all of the copper currently in use, would be required to bring the world to the level of the developed nations for power transmission, construction and other services and products that depend on the metal.



If the price got high enough, we could replace all of the copper telephone lines with glass fibers, and melt down the copper. I don't remember there being a shortage of sand, especially in the Sahara ...


38 posted on 01/20/2006 1:17:02 PM PST by Mack the knife
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To: Centurion2000
I guess people forget that we can get places.

Except that we almost CAN'T get places...at least, not as well as we SHOULD have been able to by now...
39 posted on 01/20/2006 1:17:46 PM PST by beezdotcom
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To: libertarianPA

Julian Simon vs. Paul Ehrlich redux?

Do the people that write this pap have no knowledge of history?


40 posted on 01/20/2006 1:19:12 PM PST by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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