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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part IV
NHC - NOAA ^ | 22 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/22/2005 3:25:57 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Rita continues to threaten the Greater Houston Metropolitan area. The forecast track has shifted slightly to the northeast, increasing the risk to Southwest Louisiana, and a significant portion of the oil and gas operations in the Gulf of Mexico. Texas Governor Perry is urging all coastal residents between Beaumont and Corpus Christi to evacuate as soon as possible.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Houston/Galveston/Beaumont/Lake Charles Wx Watches/Warnings
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana
Hi Res Houston Flood Zone Map Slow load, great detail

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KPRC-TV/DT Houston - KPRC-TV/DT Houston - http://mfile.akamai.com/12944/live/reflector:38616.asx
KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
Beaumont TX evac Routes
Lake Charles/Southwest LA Evacuation Map
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
KPLC Lake Charles Evac Routes, news
KFDM Beaumont/Port Arthur News, evac info
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: beaumont; galveston; houston; hurricane; lakecharles; matagorda; portarthur; rita; texascity; tropical
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To: bonfire

Sweet.


1,981 posted on 09/22/2005 12:56:45 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: cgk

Why, oh why didn't I watch Special Report yesterday?


1,982 posted on 09/22/2005 12:56:46 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: JFC

He was reading email with the Bush jokes, but the net effect is the same.


1,983 posted on 09/22/2005 12:56:49 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: RummyChick

"I cant wait to see the horses flying down the freeway or motorcycles weaving in and out of cars."

LOL!!


1,984 posted on 09/22/2005 12:56:53 PM PDT by SolomoninSouthDakota (Daschle is gone.)
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To: Spktyr

Spktyr....Just bought a sweet 1989 Grand Wagoneer from the original owner. As others are buying coffins on wheels to save on gas....I am purchasing what will get me and mine over hill and dale. These Woodies are tanks!


1,985 posted on 09/22/2005 12:56:57 PM PDT by all4one (Lt. Gen. Russel Honore: "You are stuck on stupid. I'm not going to answer that question." 9-20-05)
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To: ncpatriot

Is that cars out of fuel? Watching the screen and listening to Sean.


1,986 posted on 09/22/2005 12:57:05 PM PDT by Arizona Carolyn
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To: Dog Gone

Make certain your sharpen your chain before sawing... that chainsaw gasoline will go a lot further if you do...


1,987 posted on 09/22/2005 12:57:09 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Temple Owl

Knock Knock
Who's there?
Awgo
Awgo who
Awgo poop in a shoebox.



LOL! Can I borrow that?


1,988 posted on 09/22/2005 12:57:11 PM PDT by cgk (When the BIG ONE wipes out Hollywood can we call it Bush's Fault instead of the San Andreas Fault?)
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To: onyx; All

Update:

Galveston roads are almost completely empty. Hwy 146 (freeway on the west border of Galveston Bay) is also empty all the way up to at least Baytown. I-45 gulf freeway is nearly empty all the way up from Galveston to almost Loop 610(a few miles southeast of downtown.) Southwest freeway nearly empty at Beltway 8 on the west side of Houston.

Still stacked up on all the freeways to the west and north, but traffic has begun moving faster in the last hour or two. Outbound side roads out those directions also clogged, but the rear of the backup is advancing north and west. Keep in mind, the evac plan wasn't designed for a 100% evac of the metro, just 100% of the lowlying areas. Those in suitable buildings 60 miles or more inland might be ok staying. La Porte officials believe 80% of town has evacuated.

I-45 contraflow open, I-10 soon to open, Hwy 290 still not open because bottlenecks in Giddings and Brenham are not yet cleared. Some pissant counties out to the west don't have their act together and haven't been able to implement their portions of the statewide evac plans. Huge backup in Fulshear because the lights are on their normal cycle and the town police can't be bothered to direct traffic. Guess he's too busy "Blocking the bridge"?

Biggest unforseen headache seems to be the shutdown of nearly all gas stations. Since the evac plans didn't anticipate a full evacuation of the metro, it appears they weren't treated as essential services. Rolling gas resupply fleet was part of the plan, but it may not be enough. Wonder if officials will commandeer closed gas stations that still have inventory. Let the Libertarians bitch all they want about that. Those stranded who don't get gas will be taken to shelters. Still nearly 36 hours of evacuation time left.

According to Channel 11 in Houston, IF the current track holds Conroe could be looking at 75 mph sustained winds, hurricane winds maybe as far west as Sealy. Baytown could see 90-100mph, downtown Houston 75-90mph. 1 in 4 pine trees could be blown down in the metro.

Some possible suggestions:

Head southwest along the coast and turn north or west. In fact Harlingen/Brownsville, Laredo, (and maybe even Corpus depending on what happens the next 12-24 hours) might be the best place to head to. You can always sleep in your car, but a lot easier to do so without hurricane winds.

If you must evac using I-45, 290, I-10, etc., perhaps wait a few more hours and see if the lines start to lessen. If you are stuck in traffic(congrats on being online in your car!) towards the rear of the backup and starting to run low on gas, pull over for a few hours to conserve gas and let the backup drain down. Things will most likely start moving faster over the next few hours as contraflow takes its effect and others have been scared off from trying to get in line to get out.

But remember, a direct hit on Galveston is still about the highest possibility, at 24% (chance of a landfall within 50 miles either way.) Port Arthur is at 21%, Corpus at 19%, and New Orleans still at 16%. The models are still divergent, so there is NO guarantee that the track will continue to move east, and may at some point move west again. There are 2 different highs affecting this track, and the solid ridge is going to break at some point.





1,989 posted on 09/22/2005 12:57:25 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Howlin

Okay; who gets first dibs on Wolf Blitzed?


1,990 posted on 09/22/2005 12:57:50 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: Spktyr
That depends on how big it is and how scared you get.

ROFL

1,991 posted on 09/22/2005 12:58:12 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: John Jamieson

Hi John!! Yep, looks like we just might get a sprinkle or two! LOL


1,992 posted on 09/22/2005 12:58:29 PM PDT by Jrabbit (Kaufman County, Texas)
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To: Carolinamom

Well said.


1,993 posted on 09/22/2005 12:58:32 PM PDT by AliVeritas (Ignorance is a condition. Stupidity is a strategy.)
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To: IamConservative; hummingbird
Might also mention the loaded firearm per house ratio is about 5:1..!!..

Kinda light there!

; < )

1,994 posted on 09/22/2005 12:58:53 PM PDT by Eaker (My Wife Rocks! - I will never take Dix off of my ping list as I have been asked to do.)
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To: evets

Thanks for the laugh!


1,995 posted on 09/22/2005 12:58:55 PM PDT by MontanaBeth
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To: Howlin

My husband is calling it "quarterbacking"... everyone is an expert on everything now - before during and after. And they are always right no matter what happened before during or after... because you know, it was JUST WRONG.


1,996 posted on 09/22/2005 12:59:29 PM PDT by cgk (When the BIG ONE wipes out Hollywood can we call it Bush's Fault instead of the San Andreas Fault?)
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To: Quilla
I guess if it would work, they would certainly be doing it. I heard the dry-ice story before. Hey I remember hundreds of bombers going into Germany. Maybe we ought to give it try.
1,997 posted on 09/22/2005 12:59:55 PM PDT by Temple Owl
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To: all4one

Ditto that. I'll NEVER give up my 1999 GORGEOUS black "Texas Stationwagon". NEVER, I TELL YA!


1,998 posted on 09/22/2005 1:00:28 PM PDT by bonfire (dwindler)
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To: steveegg

If anyone knows how to insure you get sound on a video capture card and not just video, I can save it and upload it somewhere.

That is the one part I am stuck on.


1,999 posted on 09/22/2005 1:00:38 PM PDT by cgk (When the BIG ONE wipes out Hollywood can we call it Bush's Fault instead of the San Andreas Fault?)
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To: bwteim

I didn't see the interview. Still there are cases I would rather pay $6 than look at a bag over a pump. People like this owner are often panicking themselves, topping off their own tanks and exacerbating the shortages everywhere else. There was one whining on CSPAN that he bought gas wholesale at $3.49 and was forced to sell it at $3.19. Well, duh!


2,000 posted on 09/22/2005 1:00:54 PM PDT by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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