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IDF Predicts: War After Gaza Pullout
Arutz 7 ^ | Apr 17, '05 | staff

Posted on 04/17/2005 10:10:33 AM PDT by Nachum

The Palestinian terror onslaught offensive is expected to resume in September, prompting the IDF's re-capture of cities in Judea and Samaria in the fall, and a re-entry to Gaza by early next year.

The IDF has given the code-name "Rainy Day" to the period following the disengagement/expulsion, which is scheduled to begin July 20 and end sometime in August. This name was chosen "not only because of the autumn winds soon to blow," writes military correspondent Haggai Huberman in HaTzofeh, "but also because of the military scenario foreseen by the army. "The army is calling it a 'security escalation' - in other words, a renewal of war with the Palestinians."

The violence is expected to reach such levels, Huberman writes, that "the IDF will be forced to re-take the cities of Judea and Samaria" that were recently given over to the security control of the Palestinian Authority. Jericho and Tul Karem were recently given over, but the handover of Kalkilye to the PA has been held up because the PA refuses to collect the weapons of wanted terrorists.

"The mind-boggling thing," Huberman continues, "is that the State of Israel is advancing, knowingly and with its eyes open, towards this death trap. The Yom Kippur War of October 1973 was a surprise, but the war of October 2005 is totally known in advance. Senior IDF officers say it in closed sessions in the clearest manner possible to everyone, including the media. The Prime Minister and the Defense Minister, pushing with all their might for the uprooting [of the Jews in Gaza and northern Shomron], also know it. This scenario is shown on slides that the senior officers show the diplomatic echelons, the government, the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, and all others who have to know."

Haaretz defense affairs expert Amir Oren agrees. "In and around the IDF," Oren writes today, "the assessments are mixed as to how well the security forces will overcome the [Jewish] opponents of the evacuation... But there is no disagreement about what can be expected after the summer: The prediction is that by next January to March, after Palestinian terror has increased and become more sophisticated, the IDF will return to Gaza - this time without the police."

HaTzofeh's Huberman adds that even if a diplomatic agreement appears to be in the making, terrorism will still be renewed - but on a "more moderate" level. "These, then, are the two only post-expulsion possibilities the IDF is preparing for," he writes: "If there is an agreement, there will be terrorism, and if there is no agreement, there will be an escalation, i.e., war."

Arms-smuggling from Egypt into Gaza, and from there to Judea and Samaria, or along the Egypt-Negev-Judea route, continues to increase. Standardized powerful dynamite, which has not been seen in Judea and Samaria since Operation Defensive Shield almost three years ago, is among the materials the terrorists are trying to smuggle in. IDF officials consider this the main threat against Israel today, as it will mean roadside bombs along major highways in the Israeli heartland.

In the 15 weeks of the year 2005 , the army reports that 1,000 rifles have been smuggled from Sinai into Gaza and the Negev. Dozens of RPG mortar launchers, 150 pistols and tens of thousands of bullets have found their way into Israel since the beginning of the year. Some 600 rifles were smuggled in over the past month alone. It is suspected as well that five anti-aircraft shoulder missiles were smuggled in via one of the tunnels into Gaza.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Israel; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: after; gaza; idf; israel; predicts; pullout; war
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1 posted on 04/17/2005 10:10:34 AM PDT by Nachum
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To: Nachum

....and the beat goes on baby, YEAH!

2 posted on 04/17/2005 10:17:50 AM PDT by zarf
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To: Nachum

so be it.


3 posted on 04/17/2005 10:19:17 AM PDT by ken21 (if you didn't see it on tv, then it didn't happen. /s)
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To: ken21
And when the Palestinians attack, the US will call on restraint by Israel and urge a return to the road map.
4 posted on 04/17/2005 10:24:49 AM PDT by Truth29
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To: Nachum
"The mind-boggling thing," Huberman continues, "is that the State of Israel is advancing, knowingly and with its eyes open, towards this death trap.

=======

WAKE UP, ISRAEL ... YOU CAN NOT BARGAIN WITH SATAN !!!

5 posted on 04/17/2005 10:26:51 AM PDT by GeekDejure ( LOL = Liberals Obey Lucifer !!! -- Impeach Greer !!!.)
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To: Nachum

The uprooting plan from Gaza might be just the beginning.

Next it will be the Golan, then Judea and Samaria (West Bank), then east and north Jerusalem.

All the lands that Israel legaly occupied in a war that it was forced to fight (the Six Day War of June, 1967) will be given back to Israel's enemies, enemies who will not decide to co-exist with Israel even if they get a land back.
We returned the Sinai back, an area 2.5 times larger than the entire State of Israel (including West Bank and the Golan), and what did we get back? Arm smuggling from Egypt to Gaza, wild anti-semitism and more goodies.

And in the end? In the end there will be another Six-Day War, becuase Israel will be an easy target, just like before June, 1967.


6 posted on 04/17/2005 10:30:17 AM PDT by IAF ThunderPilot (The basic point of the Israel Defense Forces: -Israel cannot afford to lose a single war.)
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To: Truth29

Everyone seems to be wondering why Muslim terrorists are so quick to commit suicide. Let's see now.

No beer. No booze. No bars. No television. No cheerleaders. No
baseball. No football. No basketball. No hockey. No golf. No tailgate parties. No Hooters. No pork BBQ. No hot-dogs. No burgers. No lobster, shellfish, or even frozen fish sticks.

Rags for clothes, towels for hats. Constant wailing from the guy next door because he is sick and there are no doctors.

24 hour wailing from a guy in the tower.

No chocolate chip cookies. No Christmas.

You can't shave; your wife can't shave.

You can't shower to wash off the smell of donkey cooked over burning camel dung.

The women have to wear baggy dresses and veils at all times.

Your bride is picked by someone else, she smells just like your
donkey, but your donkey has a better disposition.

Then they tell you it all gets better when you die.

NO MYSTERY HERE


7 posted on 04/17/2005 10:34:51 AM PDT by Marguerite (When I'm good, I am very very good. But! When I'm bad, I'm even better)
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To: zarf


"So let it be written, so let it be done."
8 posted on 04/17/2005 10:35:38 AM PDT by reagan_fanatic (It takes all kinds of critters...to make Farmer Vincents fritters)
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To: 1bigdictator; 1st-P-In-The-Pod; 2sheep; A Jovial Cad; A_Conservative_in_Cambridge; a_witness; ...
FRmail me to be added or removed from this Judaic/pro-Israel ping list.

WARNING: This is a high volume ping list

9 posted on 04/17/2005 10:36:20 AM PDT by Alouette (If I owned Hell and I owned Brooklyn, I'd live in Hell and rent out Brooklyn.)
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To: Truth29

as they say,

"you gotta do what you gotta do".

everyone on this forum should be aware by now, that you can't trust the pali's, or the moslems.


10 posted on 04/17/2005 10:38:19 AM PDT by ken21 (if you didn't see it on tv, then it didn't happen. /s)
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To: IAF ThunderPilot
Sometimes you have to take a step back in order to take two steps forward.

Any rational thinking person can see that appeasing the so called Palestinians is a mistake and can only lead to problems.

It is a sorry state of affairs that Israel is being compelled to submit to this BS, but in the end if war comes, Israel will prevail again. Perhaps then, the nonsense of accommodating a bunch of usurpers who insist upon having murderous thugs as their representatives will finally come to an end.
11 posted on 04/17/2005 10:48:25 AM PDT by Radix (I'd rather have a bottle in front of me than a frontal lobotomy.)
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Yehuda; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; ...
If you'd like to be on or off this middle east/political ping list, please FR mail me.

Doesn't take one


12 posted on 04/17/2005 10:49:31 AM PDT by SJackson (The first duty of a leader is to make himself be loved without courting love, Andre Malraux)
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To: Radix
It is a sorry state of affairs that Israel is being compelled to submit to this BS, but in the end if war comes, Israel will prevail again. Perhaps then, the nonsense of accommodating a bunch of usurpers who insist upon having murderous thugs as their representatives will finally come to an end.

More likely we'll begin another peace process.

13 posted on 04/17/2005 10:50:50 AM PDT by SJackson (The first duty of a leader is to make himself be loved without courting love, Andre Malraux)
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To: IAF ThunderPilot; Alouette

I still miss him. He was the best.

14 posted on 04/17/2005 10:54:37 AM PDT by hipaatwo (When you're in trouble you want all your friends around you...preferably armed!)
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To: Marguerite

>No lobster, shellfish

Prohibition against shellfish is part of Jewish law, not Muslim.

And Muslims are supposed to completely shave their bodies at least once every forty days.

Whether you can find shellfish and razors in Gaza is another thing, of course!


15 posted on 04/17/2005 10:58:00 AM PDT by blueminnesota
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To: Radix
Sometimes you have to take a step back in order to take two steps forward.

It is immoral to ask the people who have soaked their life savings and risked their families' lives to make this "sacrifice" for a tactical ploy. It is not worth the price in dead, miamed, blood, and toil. In every negotiation and tactical ploy, more suffer and die.

Someone has to stand up and say no. It is time.

16 posted on 04/17/2005 10:59:18 AM PDT by Nachum
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To: hipaatwo

Moshe Dayan- The man who saved Israel in 1967, who led Israel to one of the greatest military victories in history.

Yet the same great Moshe Dayan is the man who didn't accept taking control over the Temple Mount. The Arabs gave him the "keys" and he gave them back.

Still, if not Moshe Dayan, Israel probably wouldn't have been here today.


17 posted on 04/17/2005 11:01:40 AM PDT by IAF ThunderPilot (The basic point of the Israel Defense Forces: -Israel cannot afford to lose a single war.)
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To: IAF ThunderPilot

Yet the same great Moshe Dayan is the man who didn't accept taking control over the Temple Mount. The Arabs gave him the "keys" and he gave them back.



That I didn't know and I wonder why he gave them back.


18 posted on 04/17/2005 11:04:17 AM PDT by hipaatwo (When you're in trouble you want all your friends around you...preferably armed!)
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To: Nachum

Peace is war by other means.


19 posted on 04/17/2005 11:04:38 AM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: hipaatwo

A great leader and warrior, he was a secular figure, which likely colored his view of the Temple Mount's importance. And in fairness, Israel has always ceded control of the Temple Mount to the Wakf, now Jordanian again, as a political gesture, and on an ongoing basis. The problem could be fixed tomorrow. If you want to find blame today, you have to look to Sharon (imo, another great leader and warrior), not Dayan.


20 posted on 04/17/2005 11:10:12 AM PDT by SJackson (The first duty of a leader is to make himself be loved without courting love, Andre Malraux)
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