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To: NewMediaFan

I have a theory about the exit poll fiasco that I haven't heard discussed.

Given the directive by the DNC to make voter intimidation charges throughout Fl and OH, and the every vote counts and every vote will be counted mantra, it occurred to me that if any fix was involved, it was intended to validate the DNC's claim that the Republicans were suppressing voter counts in key battleground states.

If the exit polls were hyped enough, and if they were to be believed as fact, then the next logical step would be for the actual counts to be challenged. The exit poll data was leaked at 2:00. The actual counts were not released for at least another 5-6 hours. There was plenty time for the idea that Kerry had it by a landslide to sink in across the country. Please read my theory as to why this was a coordinated attack on the election chances of GWB.

1) Based on the speed with which the blogosphere debunked the GWB National Guard memos, the news of a possible Kerry landslide would be instantaneously disseminated throughout the blogosphere. Pundits and bigoted right-wing extremist, homophobes would immediately begin pounding their keyboards -- assuming the worst. Remember, this is being spread by "us" not the MSM.

2) Devastated, W's supporters wouldn't bother to wait in those notoriously long lines. What difference is it going to make if we can't even win Virginia and North Carolina, right?

3) When early Republican states couldn't be called right away, that fueled the fire for those who may not have gotten the word earlier in the afternoon. If you were in the West, why bother voting.

4) Assuming that the country wouldn't overwhelmingly vote to give the cowboy "W' 4 more years, the results would be extremely close -- like Florida last year.

5) Thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands of provisional ballots had been cast in key states. Presumably, the numbers of such ballots would exceed the margin of any Bush lead.

6) With the "fact" assumed that Kerry had indeed pulled off the impossible, the way had suddenly been paved to push the vote suppression theory. Of course the tallies were wrong, the polls had shown the truth. The people had spoken all day long - John Kerry had been elected by an unprecedented margin. Bush couldn't even overwhelmingly carry his very red states in the Midwest. Let the lawyering begin!

I know it sounds crazy, but how could each poll be so alarmingly wrong. The samples or the data had to have been manipulated.

Just a theory, but if it were true... The credibility of the MSM would be finished.


4 posted on 11/04/2004 6:45:58 AM PST by infogeekmom (Bush, Burr, Ballantine (well at least Bush and Burr))
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To: infogeekmom

This is exactly the line that Juan Williams wanted to push on election night coverage on Fox. He said that since their was obviously such a disparity between the exit polls and the vote count, there "were questions" as to the reliability of the machine count. I really think they wanted to start this stink, but the sheer volume of Bush votes made that a losing scenario. Thank God all those Republicans turned out to support their President! I'm with Morris on this one...someone needs to investigate who was responsible for the exit snaffu because he said that it would not be easy to make such a huge "mistake".


10 posted on 11/04/2004 6:54:54 AM PST by kittymyrib
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To: infogeekmom
I know it sounds crazy,

Not to me. (Did you use to be a Dem operative? ;-))

14 posted on 11/04/2004 7:02:38 AM PST by maryz
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