W only got 8% of the black vote in '00. 12% is an improvement.
Exactly, although I thought it was 6% in 2000? Anyway this poll seems to be saying to me:
1. Bush is polling better among African-Americans than 2000.
2. Bush is polling about the same among Hispanics as 2000.
I do not know how Bush did in 2000 among whites, clearly this poll is not bad news, unless I am wrong about the Hispanic numbers from 2000 or Bush is polling worse among whites than in 2000.
W will get 8% or less.