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The Democrats Are Blowing This Election
The Atlantic ^ | October 4, 2019 | Yascha Mounk

Posted on 10/25/2019 1:40:03 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

To defeat Trump, the Democratic presidential nominee will have to do more than turn out the base.

A theory for how to win the 2020 presidential election has quickly become conventional wisdom among Democratic campaign strategists and many prominent pundits. It goes like this: The country has become so polarized that swing voters barely exist anymore. Elections are now decided by which side better manages to mobilize its base. So Democrats need to stop worrying about winning over moderates—and confidently move to the left.

Proponents of this “progressive mobilization theory” can point to a few important pieces of evidence. Plenty of liberal policies, for instance, are popular with voters across the political spectrum. As I’ve argued in the past, this makes it possible for Democratic presidential candidates to develop an ambitious agenda on issues from health care to gun control without jeopardizing their chances of ousting Donald Trump.

But the theory is nonetheless wrong in three crucial respects. A significant number of swing voters do exist, and in close-run elections, they matter. While Democrats do need to mobilize their base to win in 2020, it is far from obvious that moving to the left will help them do so. And to cure America of Trumpism, they need to persuade voters who aren’t already consistent progressives to turn their back on his brand of politics.

(Excerpt) Read more at theatlantic.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2020; democrats; ussa
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To: rktman

“ And who knows what else they are blowing.”

We know Katie Hill is blowing one of her staffers.

Blowing a bong too.


41 posted on 10/25/2019 4:52:58 PM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast (It's the corruption, stupid)
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To: outpostinmass2

Oh yes another bully.

Go home you scow & scum
Bye Bye !


42 posted on 10/25/2019 7:00:56 PM PDT by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
...only a small percentage of so-called moderates or independents are centrists who consistently hold views more conservative than those of the Democratic Party and more progressive than those of the Republican Party. Instead, nonpartisans hold a variety of political views, and tend to be ideologically fluid.

This is what I've been trying to prove by analyzing the so-called "independent" population in recent headline-garnering polls.

The most recent CNN poll that was touted as showing 50% of Americans supporting impeachment is a perfect example of stuffing Democrats into the Independent sample to skew the results, while keeping the D/R ratio reasonable (D+4 in CNN's case).

When looking at the details, it becomes obvious that "independents" who have less than 5% "don't know" responses and 100% alignment with the Democrat sample aren't showing the "ideological fluidity" or "variety of political views" that this author says is there.

-PJ

43 posted on 10/25/2019 7:16:06 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (Freedom of the press is the People's right to publish, not CNN's right to the 1st question.)
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

Never noticed your screen name before-what an act of Providence!
I, too, am a Sligo Duffy!
Are you into genealogy? I have a treasure trove of material I would love to share.


44 posted on 10/25/2019 8:21:16 PM PDT by mozarky2 (Ya never stand so tall as when ya stoop to stomp a statist...)
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To: outpostinmass2

This is a horrible horrible comment you should be ashamed of yourself is this how you address everyone that offers a simple opinion yet..it does not agree with yours?

Your words don’t hurt me it’s like water rolling off a ducks back


45 posted on 10/25/2019 10:37:30 PM PDT by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh, yes, Progs, “confidently move to the Left!” In fact, why don’t you just go on CNN and scream, “WE SERVE THE DEVIL!” Because you do!


46 posted on 10/26/2019 12:53:28 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (Enjoy the decline of the American empire.)
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To: rktman

Was that a slap at Kamala?


47 posted on 10/26/2019 3:26:26 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

You could have stopped after just four words.


48 posted on 10/26/2019 3:13:28 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

You’re from Vermont, bernie-bro.


49 posted on 10/26/2019 3:15:30 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: grey_whiskers

I know im from VT but im not a bernie- bro BRO.

You cant even begin to derstand politics here if you assume im a bernie supporter. Wut? A bernie-ite on FR?? LOL!

Pele in this state are fed up with him and have been for a LONG time


50 posted on 11/16/2019 11:59:55 AM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

Pele in this state


51 posted on 11/16/2019 12:00:19 PM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

Weird auto spell


52 posted on 11/16/2019 12:00:41 PM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They may be blowing the POTUS election, but Pubbies are blowing the Congressional election, there just aren’t enough good Pubbies out there running for office, to replace all the retirements.


53 posted on 11/16/2019 12:01:56 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

re: “ so your are a “

Hmmmm ... where to start, where to start with this one ...


54 posted on 11/16/2019 12:05:26 PM PST by _Jim (Save babies)
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To: _Jim

Im a T.r.u.m.p Supporter what are you?


55 posted on 11/16/2019 12:11:56 PM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

re: “Im a T.r.u.m.p Supporter what are you?”

I’m a bachelor, does that count for anything? How about the first vote I cast - for Gerald R. Ford.

Onto other subjects, are you a native English speaker, writer? Have you had any brewskies this afternoon? Just trying to get an understanding of the ‘situation’ on account of grammar and punctuation ‘anomalies’ and the like.


56 posted on 11/16/2019 12:16:27 PM PST by _Jim (Save babies)
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To: dfwgator

:^)


57 posted on 11/16/2019 12:19:12 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: thesligoduffyflynns

Took you three weeks to respond?

Let me guess, you’re on Internet Explorer. :-D


58 posted on 11/16/2019 12:41:43 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: grey_whiskers

Free Republic is nice but I go to other conservative news, too. Ive actually been here much much longer than my profile states but was not a neither a victim nor casualty of any of the many purges over the yrs here at FR. I used to be be a reg contributor but due to health issues I had to cut back. I remember you very well and in the past exchanged messages with you frequently. Im surprised that you wish to insult my appearance or lack of here @ FR. Be well.


59 posted on 11/16/2019 6:05:05 PM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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To: _Jim

I beg your pardon.... “ this one”?... Are you dissecting something?


60 posted on 11/16/2019 6:18:59 PM PST by thesligoduffyflynns
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